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Serie A

Atalanta - Sassuolo

08/23/2026, 06:45 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Atalanta
2.1
Total xG
3.0
Sassuolo
0.9
最可能的比分

2:0

11%

1:1

11%

2:1

10%

3:0

8%

3:1

7%
xG 分解
ATASAS

Atalanta

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.47倍)
+1.20
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.22
防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.01
Nikola Krstović未进大名单 (10球, 5助攻)
Charles De Ketelaere未进大名单 (3球, 5助攻)
Marten de Roon未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)
主场表现强势 (场均1.9球 vs 总体1.5球)

Sassuolo

防守不足 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.11
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
+0.10
状态上升 (1.6 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
+0.10
Domenico Berardi未进大名单 (8球, 4助攻)
Kristian Thorstvedt未进大名单 (4球, 4助攻)
Ismaël Koné未进大名单 (6球, 0助攻)
Tarik Muharemović未进大名单 (2球, 2助攻)
Ulisses Garcia未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)
61%进球产出缺失 (仅51%可用)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

64%

平局

22%

客胜

14%

进球数

Over 1.5

82%

Under 1.5

18%

Over 2.5

58%

Under 2.5

42%

Over 3.5

36%

Under 3.5

64%

双重机会

主胜或平局

86%

客胜或平局

36%

非平局

78%

双方进球

是

54%

否

46%

关键因素
  • Only 52% of seasonal goal threat available, without Domenico Berardi, Kristian Thorstvedt, Ismaël Koné, Tarik Muharemović, and Ulisses Garcia
  • Tactical trend: Sassuolo averaged 5.2 shots on target in recent matches
  • Mathematical forecast: The model calculates a 64% probability for an Atalanta home win
风险因素
  • Atalanta with only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Limited data availability for duel statistics of the last 5 matches
概述

Atalanta (12th place, 0 points) host Sassuolo (10th place, 0 points) at the Gewiss Stadium

Serie A match on August 23, 2026, 8:45 PM

A crucial clash early in the season as both teams look to secure their first points

近期状态

Atalanta's form string is DWLDD (1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss)

Sassuolo's form string is WLLLW (2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses)

The hosts ended their recent run with two consecutive draws

Explanation: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Atalanta averaged 1.34 goals scored and 0.95 goals conceded last season

Sassuolo averaged 1.21 goals scored and 1.32 goals conceded

At home, Atalanta conceded only 0.79 goals per game on average

历史交锋

Sassuolo dominates the head-to-head record with 2 wins in the last 2 matches

The last match ended in a 2-1 win for Sassuolo on March 1, 2026

Overall goal difference of 5-1 in favor of the visitors

关键球员

Gianluca Scamacca recorded 10 goals and 1 assist last season

Giacomo Raspadori contributes with 3 goals and an average rating of 7.00

Armand Laurienté has been in form for Sassuolo with 2 goals and 1 assist recently

门将

Marco Carnesecchi kept 13 clean sheets with a rating of 7.07

Arijanet Murić registered 8 clean sheets with a rating of 7.17

影响因素

Atalanta holds the home advantage at the Gewiss Stadium on a grass pitch

The stadium averages a very low 0.8 goals per game based on venue stats

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