Serie A
Parma - Cagliari
08/22/2026, 06:45 PM
预期进球
1.2
2.4
1.2
1:1
15%0:0
11%0:1
9%1:0
9%1:2
8%xG 分解
Parma
Cagliari
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
34%
平局
31%
客胜
35%
进球数
Over 1.5
71%
Under 1.5
29%
Over 2.5
44%
Under 2.5
56%
Over 3.5
23%
Under 3.5
77%
双重机会
主胜或平局
65%
客胜或平局
66%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
51%
否
49%
关键因素
- Severe quality loss for Cagliari: Only 36% of the usual goal threat is active due to missing key players like Sebastiano Esposito (7 goals, 5 assists)
- Cagliari averaged 4.6 shots on target in recent matches with balanced possession (48%)
- Historical H2H advantage for Cagliari with 3 wins and no defeats in the last 4 direct meetings
风险因素
- Limited offensive threat for Parma: Only 56% of the usual starting strength is available, without Mateo Pellegrino (9 goals)
- Parma plays highly counter-oriented and averaged only 3.2 shots on target in recent matches
概述
Parma hosts Cagliari at the Stadio Ennio Tardini
Serie A match on August 22, 2026, 8:45 PM
Both teams start the new season level on points
Mathematical predictions expect an extremely balanced match
近期状态
Parma form: LLLWW
Cagliari form: DLWWW
Parma with 2 wins and 3 losses in their recent matches
Cagliari registered 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss recently
统计数据
Parma scored an average of 0.74 goals per game last season
Parma's defense conceded an average of 1.21 goals
Cagliari scored an average of 1.05 goals per match
Cagliari conceded an average of 1.76 goals per away match
历史交锋
4 head-to-head matches in recent years
Cagliari dominates with 3 wins and 1 draw
Parma failed to win any of the last 4 encounters
The last head-to-head meeting ended in a 1-1 draw on February 27, 2026
关键球员
Adrián Bernabé (3 goals, 1 assist, avg. 7.08 rating)
Mandela Keita (1 goal, 1 assist, avg. 6.84 rating)
Emanuele Valeri (2 assists, avg. 6.82 rating)
Elia Caprile (avg. 6.92 rating, avg. 6.83 rating in the last 5 games)
Adam Obert (3 assists, avg. 6.83 rating)
Paul Mendy (2 goals, avg. 6.75 rating)
门将
Edoardo Corvi for Parma with a 6.90 average rating last season
Elia Caprile guards Cagliari's goal with a 6.92 season average rating
Parma kept a total of 13 clean sheets
Cagliari kept 8 clean sheets last season
影响因素
The match will be played on grass at the Stadio Ennio Tardini
The historic home record at this stadium shows an average of 2.2 goals per game
There was a BTTS rate of 40% in the last 5 home matches