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Serie A

Genoa - Napoli

08/22/2026, 06:45 PM

0 : 2
预期进球
Genoa
0.7
Total xG
2.1
Napoli
1.3
最可能的比分

0:1

16%

0:0

14%

1:1

14%

0:2

11%

1:2

8%
xG 分解
GENNAP

Genoa

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.13
排名劣势 (第16位 vs 第2位, 相差14位)
-0.12

Napoli

状态上升 (2.5 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
+0.28
最近5场中4场零封
-0.15
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.13
排名优势 (第2位 vs 第16位, 相差14位)
+0.09
防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.05
Miguel Gutiérrez未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

19%

平局

32%

客胜

50%

进球数

Over 1.5

62%

Under 1.5

38%

Over 2.5

34%

Under 2.5

66%

Over 3.5

15%

Under 3.5

85%

双重机会

主胜或平局

50%

客胜或平局

81%

非平局

68%

双方进球

39%

61%

关键因素
  • Attacking form: Napoli is currently scoring more frequently with 2.5 goals on average compared to their season average of 1.6
  • Tactical dominance: Napoli averaged 5.4 shots on target per match in recent games
  • H2H superiority: Napoli won 3 of the last 4 direct encounters against Genoa
风险因素
  • Genoa averaged only 3.6 shots on target per match in recent games
  • The model estimates the probability of a low-scoring game (Under 2.5) at 66%
概述

Genoa host Napoli at the Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Serie A match on August 22, 2026, 8:45 PM

The home side currently sits in 1st place with 0 points

The visitors from Naples occupy the 18th position with 0 points at the start of the season

The mathematical model favors the away team for this matchup

近期状态

Genoa's form curve stands at DDLLW with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses

Most recently, they secured a 4-1 victory against Ascoli at home

Napoli arrive with a form of WDLWW, including 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss

The visitors won their last match 1-0 against Udinese

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Genoa scored an average of 1.08 goals per game and conceded 1.34 this season

In home games, their average stands at 1.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded

Napoli averaged 1.53 goals scored per match and conceded 0.95 goals

On the road, the visitors show a strong record of 1.56 goals scored and 1.12 conceded

The home side kept 9 clean sheets this season, while the visitors recorded 15 clean sheets

历史交锋

In 4 head-to-head matches, Genoa have 0 wins, Napoli have 3 wins, and 1 match ended in a draw

The goal difference in these direct encounters stands at 6-9 against Genoa

Their last meeting on February 7, 2026, ended in a 3-2 away victory for Napoli

Historical dominance lies clearly with the visiting team

关键球员

Lorenzo Colombo averages 0.24 goals per 90 minutes with 7 goals this season

Leo Østigård provides defensive stability and contributed 5 goals this season

Vitinha has recorded 5 goals and 1 assist so far

Rasmus Højlund leads Naples with 12 goals and 5 assists this season

Scott McTominay impresses in midfield with 10 goals and 3 assists

Alisson Santos has scored 4 goals with an average rating of 7.14

门将

Justin Bijlow plays in goal for Genoa with an average rating of 6.92

He contributed to the team's total of 9 clean sheets this season

Alex Meret guards the net for Napoli with an average rating of 6.73

He was directly involved in the visitors' 15 clean sheets this season

影响因素

The Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris shows a historical average of 4.0 goals per game

Both teams scored in 60% of the matches played at this venue

Genoa hold a home record of 1.1 goals scored on grass surfaces

Napoli average 1.56 goals scored away from home on natural grass

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