Serie A
Torino - AC Milan
08/23/2026, 06:45 PM
预期进球
1.3
2.5
1.3
1:1
14%1:2
8%2:1
8%0:2
6%2:0
6%xG 分解
Torino
AC Milan
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
35%
平局
30%
客胜
35%
进球数
Over 1.5
74%
Under 1.5
26%
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
25%
Under 3.5
75%
双重机会
主胜或平局
65%
客胜或平局
65%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
54%
否
46%
关键因素
- Severe squad depletion: AC Milan faces the match without Rafael Leão, Adrien Rabiot, and Christopher Nkunku, leaving them with only 30% of their usual goal-scoring threat available
- Tactical approach: Torino averaged 3.2 shots on target in recent matches, compared to AC Milan's average of 4.0
- Model prediction: The mathematical model indicates a highly balanced match, calculating an equal win probability of 35% for both teams
风险因素
- Offensive decline: AC Milan's recent goal production has slowed down to 1.25 goals per match compared to their season average of 1.49
- Defensive vulnerability: Torino conceded an average of 1.66 goals per game throughout the season
- Squad gaps for Torino: Two key players, Rafa Obrador and Emirhan İlkhan, are absent from the match squad
概述
Torino host AC Milan
Serie A match on August 23, 2026, 8:45 PM
Torino (9th place, 0 points) face AC Milan (13th place, 0 points) at the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Both clubs aim for a positive start to the league campaign
近期状态
Torino enters with a form of LWLDW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Their last match ended in a 1-0 win against Carrarese
AC Milan travels with a form of DLLWL
Their most recent match resulted in a 1-2 defeat against Cagliari
统计数据
Torino scored an average of 1.16 goals and conceded 1.66 goals across 38 matches
AC Milan scored 1.39 goals on average while conceding 0.92 goals
Torino secured 12 clean sheets, compared to 15 clean sheets for AC Milan
At Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, 80% of matches saw over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring
历史交锋
There have been 4 head-to-head encounters
AC Milan won 2 matches, Torino won 1, and 1 match ended in a draw
The last meeting on March 21, 2026, ended in a 3-2 victory for AC Milan
关键球员
Giovanni Simeone has registered 11 goals this season for Torino
Nikola Vlašić contributed 8 goals and 3 assists
Strahinja Pavlović scored 5 goals and provided 1 assist for AC Milan
门将
Diego Mascardi starts in goal for Torino
Mike Maignan lines up for AC Milan, having recorded 15 clean sheets this season
影响因素
The match takes place on natural grass at the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Torino averages 1.17 goals scored and 1.26 conceded in home games
AC Milan averages 1.4 goals scored and 0.7 goals conceded in away games