Serie A
Roma - Fiorentina
08/24/2026, 06:45 PM
预期进球
2.1
2.7
0.6
2:0
15%3:0
11%1:1
9%2:1
9%3:1
6%xG 分解
Roma
Fiorentina
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
72%
平局
20%
客胜
8%
进球数
Over 1.5
76%
Under 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%
Under 3.5
72%
双重机会
主胜或平局
92%
客胜或平局
28%
非平局
80%
双方进球
是
39%
否
61%
关键因素
- Severe squad deficit: Fiorentina is missing Albert Gudmundsson, Robin Gosens, and Manor Solomon, leaving only 44% of their usual goal threat available
- Roma's offensive dominance: The hosts controlled recent matches with 57% average possession and 6.0 shots on target
- Clear prediction: The mathematical model calculates a 72% probability for a home win, expecting 2.12 goals for Roma
风险因素
- Injuries in Roma's midfield and defense with L. Pellegrini and K. Koulierakis sidelined
- Low offensive threat for the visitors, who averaged only 3.4 shots on target in recent matches
概述
Roma (10th place, 0 points) host Fiorentina (12th place, 0 points) at the Stadio Olimpico
Serie A match on August 24, 2026, 8:45 PM
The season opener for both teams at the historic Olimpico
近期状态
Roma ended last season in outstanding form with 5 consecutive wins
Their form trend of WWWWW shows a perfect run
Fiorentina travels with a form record of LDWDW and a recent victory
The visitors recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss
统计数据
Roma averaged 1.55 goals scored and just 0.82 goals conceded per match last season
The home side was defensively strong, keeping 18 clean sheets
Fiorentina averaged 1.08 goals scored and 1.32 goals conceded
Away from home, the visitors conceded an average of 1.53 goals
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roma won 3 times and Fiorentina won twice
The goal difference stands at 8:9 from Roma's perspective
The last meeting on May 4, 2026, ended in a dominant 4:0 home win for Roma
关键球员
Donyell Malen scored 14 goals and provided 2 assists during the season
Paulo Dybala contributed 2 goals and 7 assists with a 7.23 average rating
Defender Gianluca Mancini scored an impressive 3 goals in his last 5 matches
门将
Mile Svilar made 38 appearances with an average rating of 7.01
David de Gea played 37 matches and shows a rising form trend
Roma achieved 18 clean sheets last season compared to Fiorentina's 10
影响因素
The home advantage at the Stadio Olimpico on natural grass strongly favors Roma
Roma conceded only 0.48 goals per home game last season
The stadium average stands at 2.4 goals per game