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Serie A

Fiorentina - Frosinone

08/29/2026, 04:30 PM

0 : 3
预期进球
Fiorentina
1.7
Total xG
2.5
Frosinone
0.8
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:0

12%

2:1

10%

3:0

7%

3:1

5%
xG 分解
FIOFRO

Fiorentina

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.45倍)
+0.60
状态上升 (1.8 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
+0.10
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.01
Nicolò Fagioli未进大名单 (2球, 3助攻)
Robin Gosens未进大名单 (3球, 1助攻)
Dodô未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)
Marco Brescianini替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
55%进球产出缺失 (仅42%可用)

Frosinone

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.55倍)
-0.48
小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
+0.21
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

57%

平局

27%

客胜

16%

进球数

Over 1.5

73%

Under 1.5

27%

Over 2.5

46%

Under 2.5

54%

Over 3.5

25%

Under 3.5

75%

双重机会

主胜或平局

84%

客胜或平局

43%

非平局

73%

双方进球

是

47%

否

53%

关键因素
  • Only 43% of the usual goal threat is available, as key players Nicolò Fagioli, Robin Gosens, Dodô, and Marco Brescianini are not in the lineup
  • The mathematical analysis favors Fiorentina with a calculated win probability of 57%
  • Fiorentina is currently scoring more frequently with an average of 1.8 goals compared to their season average of 1.4
风险因素
  • Fiorentina suffered a heavy 0-4 defeat against Roma in their last league match
  • Frosinone averaged only 3.2 shots on target in recent matches
  • Limited data availability regarding Frosinone's away statistics and player forms
概述

Fiorentina (20th place, 0 points) host Frosinone (14th place, 0 points) at the Stadio Artemio Franchi

Serie A match on August 29, 2026, 6:30 PM

Both teams started the season with a defeat and seek their first points

近期状态

Fiorentina's form string is DWDWL

The home side recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss

Frosinone's form string is WLWL

The visitors registered 2 wins and 2 losses

统计数据

Fiorentina averaged 1.08 goals scored and 1.32 goals conceded per match

Frosinone recorded 4 goals scored and 1 goal conceded in their opening game

The venue average stands at 2.0 goals per match

关键球员

Moise Kean scored 8 goals and provided 1 assist in 26 appearances

Rolando Mandragora recorded 7 goals and 3 assists in 34 games

Albert Gudmundsson contributed 5 goals and 4 assists in 33 matches

门将

David de Gea is in goal for Fiorentina after making 37 appearances last season

No detailed performance data is available in the dataset for Frosinone's goalkeeper Lorenzo Palmisani

影响因素

Fiorentina play at the Stadio Artemio Franchi on grass

Fiorentina's home record shows an even 1.11 goals scored and conceded per game

The venue's recent history shows a 60% rate of both teams scoring

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