Serie A
Napoli - Como
08/30/2026, 04:30 PM
预期进球
1.2
2.4
1.2
1:1
15%0:0
11%0:1
10%1:0
9%1:2
8%xG 分解
Napoli
Como
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
34%
平局
31%
客胜
35%
进球数
Over 1.5
70%
Under 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
42%
Under 2.5
58%
Over 3.5
21%
Under 3.5
79%
双重机会
主胜或平局
65%
客胜或平局
66%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
50%
否
50%
关键因素
- Form trend: Napoli currently score more frequently (2.0) compared to their season average (1.6), while Como's goal production is stalling (1.8) against their season average (2.1)
- Tactical setup: Como averaged 5.6 shots on target in recent matches compared to Napoli's average of 4.2
- Balanced prediction: The mathematical model calculates nearly identical win probabilities of 34% for Napoli and 35% for Como
风险因素
- Limited data availability for weather conditions
- Missing creative player: Como must play without Jesús Rodríguez, who already contributed 9 assists this season
- Historical draw tendency: 3 of the last 5 head-to-head encounters ended in a draw
概述
Napoli (9th place, 3 points) host Como (13th place, 1 point) at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Serie A match on August 30, 2026, 4:30 PM
Highly balanced matchup according to the mathematical model
近期状态
Napoli with form DLWWW (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss)
Como with form DWWWD (3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses)
Napoli won their last match 2-0 against Genoa, while Como drew 1-1 against Udinese
统计数据
Napoli scored 1.53 goals and conceded 0.95 goals on average last season
Como averaged 1.71 goals scored and 0.76 goals conceded per match
Como remain defensively stable on the road with only 0.78 goals conceded per away game
历史交锋
5 head-to-head matches in recent history
Even record with 1 win for each side and 3 draws
The last encounter ended in a scoreless 0-0 draw
关键球员
Rasmus Højlund (12 goals, 5 assists) shows a rising form trend
Scott McTominay contributes stable performances (10 goals, 3 assists)
Anastasios Douvikas is Como's top threat with 14 goals
Not nominated: Alisson Santos (4 goals, 0 assists), Miguel Gutiérrez (1 goal, 1 assist) for Napoli
Not nominated: Jesús Rodríguez (2 goals, 9 assists), Máximo Perrone (3 goals, 4 assists), Marc Oliver Kempf (4 goals, 1 assist) for Como
门将
Alex Meret with a season average of 6.73 in 11 appearances
Jean Butez started 38 matches and maintains a strong 7.08 rating
Napoli kept 15 clean sheets, while Como achieved 19 clean sheets
影响因素
Home advantage for Napoli at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona with 1.5 goals scored per home game
The venue averages 2.6 total goals per match
The match is played on grass