Serie A
Lazio - Genoa
08/30/2026, 06:45 PM
预期进球
1.3
2.3
1.1
1:1
15%0:0
11%1:0
11%0:1
9%2:1
8%xG 分解
Lazio
Genoa
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
39%
平局
31%
客胜
30%
进球数
Over 1.5
69%
Under 1.5
31%
Over 2.5
41%
Under 2.5
59%
Over 3.5
21%
Under 3.5
79%
双重机会
主胜或平局
70%
客胜或平局
61%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
49%
否
51%
关键因素
- Historical dominance: Lazio won all 4 of the past head-to-head meetings against Genoa, outscoring them 11 to 2
- Model expectation: The mathematical model calculates a Home or Draw probability of 70%
- Genoa's away vulnerability: Genoa concedes an average of 1.39 goals per away match this season
风险因素
- Lazio's depleted squad: Tijjani Noslin, Toma Bašić, and Adam Marusic are missing, leaving only 68% of their usual goal threat active
- Lazio's goal shortage: Recent goal production has stalled at an average of 0.6 goals per match compared to their season average of 1.2
- Lazio's low shooting rate: The hosts averaged only 3.8 shots on target per match in their recent fixtures
概述
Lazio hosts Genoa at the Stadio Olimpico
Serie A match on August 30, 2026, 8:45 PM
Lazio is currently in 11th place with 3 points
Genoa holds the 16th position with 0 points
The mathematical model predicts a closely contested match
近期状态
Lazio displays a form of LLWLW
The team secured a win in their last match
Genoa has a form of DLLWL
The visitors suffered a defeat in their last game
Form codes: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Lazio scored an average of 1.08 goals per game this season
The hosts' defense concedes an average of 1.05 goals
Genoa also averaged 1.08 goals scored per match
The visitors' defense concedes an average of 1.34 goals
Lazio averaged 1.08 goals scored in home games
Genoa concedes an average of 1.39 goals per away match
历史交锋
There have been 4 head-to-head matches in total
Lazio dominated with 4 wins and scored 11 goals
Genoa failed to win any matches and scored 2 goals
The last direct encounter ended 3:2 in favor of Lazio
关键球员
Mattia Zaccagni (Avg rating 7.01, 3 goals)
Kenneth Taylor (Avg rating 6.86, 3 goals, 2 assists)
Matteo Cancellieri (Avg rating 6.89, 4 goals, 2 assists)
Lorenzo Colombo (Avg rating 6.71, 7 goals, 1 assist)
Leo Østigård (Avg rating 7.13, 5 goals, 1 assist)
Vitinha (Avg rating 6.76, 5 goals, 1 assist)
门将
Christos Mandas is in goal for Lazio
The hosts achieved 15 clean sheets this season
Justin Bijlow guards Genoa's goal
The visitors kept 9 clean sheets this season
影响因素
The match takes place on grass at the Stadio Olimpico
The last 5 games at this venue averaged 2.6 goals
The BTTS rate at this stadium is currently 20%
Lazio conceded an average of 1 goal per game at home
Genoa scored an average of 1.06 goals per away match