Serie A
Lecce - Roma
08/31/2026, 04:30 PM
预期进球
0.9
2.5
1.6
1:1
13%0:1
12%0:2
11%0:0
10%1:2
9%xG 分解
Lecce
Roma
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
19%
平局
28%
客胜
53%
进球数
Over 1.5
72%
Under 1.5
28%
Over 2.5
45%
Under 2.5
55%
Over 3.5
24%
Under 3.5
76%
双重机会
主胜或平局
47%
客胜或平局
81%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
48%
否
52%
关键因素
- Severe squad depletion for Lecce: Only 47% of their usual starting XI strength is available, with key figures Lameck Banda, Antonino Gallo, and Walid Cheddira absent from the lineup
- Superb form for Roma: The visitors arrive with a perfect run of 5 consecutive wins, showcasing clinical efficiency by averaging 3.0 goals per game in recent matches
- Tactical dominance: Roma controlled recent matches, averaging 61% possession and generating 7.2 shots on target in their past outings
风险因素
- Pronounced offensive struggles for Lecce, scoring an average of only 0.72 goals per home match
- Historical mental block: Lecce has lost all of their last 4 meetings against Roma with a poor goal record of 1:8
概述
Lecce (10th place, 3 points) host Roma (8th place, 3 points) at the Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Serie A match on August 31, 2026, 6:30 PM
Early season clash with both teams coming off opening day wins
The model heavily favors Roma with a 53% win probability
近期状态
Lecce holds a form of LWWLW with 3 wins and 2 losses in their last five matches
Roma enters with a perfect form of WWWWW with 5 consecutive wins
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Roma is highly prolific, averaging 3.0 goals in recent matches compared to their season average of 1.64
统计数据
Lecce scores an average of 0.74 goals per game and concedes 1.32
Roma averages a strong 1.55 goals scored while conceding only 0.82 goals per match
In home games, Lecce averages 0.72 goals scored and 1.33 conceded
In away matches, Roma maintains a solid defensive record with 1.24 goals conceded per game
历史交锋
4 head-to-head matches in recent history show clear dominance by Roma
Lecce has failed to win any matches while Roma won all 4 encounters
The goal difference stands at 1:8 from Lecce's perspective
The last meeting on March 22, 2026, ended in a 1-0 victory for Roma
关键球员
Lassana Coulibaly guides the midfield with 33 appearances and an overall rating of 6.81
Defender Tiago Gabriel secures the defense with a seasonal rating of 6.87
For Roma, Donyell Malen shines in attack with 14 goals and a rating of 7.12
Paulo Dybala dictates play with 7 assists and an average rating of 7.23
门将
Wladimiro Falcone guards Lecce's goal with a strong seasonal average rating of 6.84 and 10 clean sheets
Mile Svilar starts in goal for Roma, boasting an impressive tally of 18 clean sheets this campaign
影响因素
The match will be played on natural grass at the Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Stadium history points to a relatively low-scoring average of 2.0 goals per game at this venue
Lecce averages only 0.72 goals scored per home match while conceding 1.33