比赛报告 →
Sassuolo – Torino2 : 1
模型为何这样判断
Sassuolo
1.40
总 xG
2.51
Torino
1.11
我们的模型在开赛前给出的预期进球
模型的计算方式：每个因素都会为一支球队增加或减少预期进球。
| 因素 | Sassuolo | Torino |
|---|---|---|
| 进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.21倍) | +0.20 | |
| 最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球) | +0.04 | |
| 最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球) | +0.03 | |
| Armand Laurienté未进大名单 (7球, 9助攻) | ||
| Kristian Thorstvedt替补席 (4球, 4助攻) | ||
| Cristian Volpato未进大名单 (2球, 4助攻) | ||
| Nemanja Matic未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻) | ||
| 100%进球产出缺失 (仅0%可用) | ||
| Nikola Vlašić未进大名单 (8球, 3助攻) | ||
| Giovanni Simeone未进大名单 (11球, 0助攻) | ||
| Rafa Obrador未进大名单 (1球, 3助攻) | ||
| Marcus Pedersen未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻) | ||
| Saúl Coco未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻) | ||
| 100%进球产出缺失 (仅0%可用) |
关键因素
- Home win prediction: Mathematical analysis favors Sassuolo with a 42% probability and projects 1.40 expected goals
- Tactical dominance: Sassuolo averaged 55.2% possession and 6.0 shots on target in recent matches
- Historical edge: Torino won both of the previous direct duels
风险
- Away struggles: Torino conceded an average of 2.27 goals per away game last season
- Sassuolo absences: None of the regular offensive key players are in the starting lineup according to squad impact data
- Low offensive threat: Torino averaged only 3.2 shots on target in their last five games
全部概率
赛果
Sassuolo42%
平局30%
Torino28%
进球
大于 1.573%
小于 1.527%
大于 2.546%
小于 2.554%
大于 3.524%
小于 3.576%
双重机会
Sassuolo或平局72%
Torino或平局58%
非平局70%
双方均进球
是52%
否48%
最可能的比分
1:1
14%
2:1
9%
2:0
8%
1:2
7%
0:2
5%
首发阵容
Sassuolo 4-3-3 · Torino 5-3-2
Sassuolo
- 49 A. Murić
- 46 S. Cinquegrano
- 21 J. Idzes
- 16 F. Leysen
- 3 J. Doig
- 17 V. Adžić
- 18 N. Matić
- 50 D. Bakola
- 7 C. Volpato
- 9 K. Bowie
- 45 A. Lauriente
Torino
- 26 D. Mascardi
- 29 N. Fortini
- 15 P. Comuzzo
- 23 S. Coco-Bassey Oubiña
- 5 E. Cömert
- 77 A. Cacciamani
- 66 G. Gineitis
- 28 K. Fitz-Jim
- 10 N. Vlašić
- 18 G. Simeone
- 19 C. Adams
替补
- 33 Rafael Burguera
- 25 B. Domínguez
- 80 S. Turati
- 10 D. Berardi
- 12 G. Satalino
- 44 E. Iannoni
- 42 K. Thorstvedt
- 26 C. Odenthal
- 77 N. Pierini
- 35 L. Lipani
- 8 A. Ghion
- 2 F. Missori
- 14 G. Kulla
- 17 S. Kulenovic
- 44 A. Ismajli
- 91 D. Zapata Banguera
- 92 A. Njie
- 14 F. Anjorin
- 7 Z. Aboukhlal
- 21 A. Dembélé
- 6 E. İlkhan
- 1 A. Paleari
- 11 G. Oristanio
- 76 L. Siviero
- 25 M. Pellini
- 79 A. Luongo
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