Serie A
Atalanta - Bologna
08/31/2026, 06:45 PM
预期进球
1.6
2.8
1.1
1:1
13%2:1
10%2:0
8%1:2
7%2:2
5%xG 分解
Atalanta
Bologna
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
48%
平局
27%
客胜
25%
进球数
Over 1.5
78%
Under 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
Over 3.5
30%
Under 3.5
70%
双重机会
主胜或平局
75%
客胜或平局
52%
非平局
73%
双方进球
是
56%
否
44%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with a 48% probability, expecting 1.65 goals for the hosts
- Atalanta averaged 4.6 shots on target with 54.6% possession in recent matches
- Bologna scores more frequently recently with 1.8 goals compared to their season average of 1.4
风险因素
- Santiago Castro (7 goals) is missing for Bologna, leaving only about 90% of active goals share
- Atalanta's goal scoring has stalled recently, averaging 1.0 goals compared to their season average of 1.5
概述
Atalanta (7th place, 3 points) host Bologna (14th place, 0 points) at the Gewiss Stadium
Serie A match on August 31, 2026, 8:45 PM
The home side started with a win, while the visitors suffered a defeat
近期状态
Atalanta won their last two matches, form sequence LDDWW
Bologna lost their last game, form sequence DWWDL
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Both teams have 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss recently
统计数据
Atalanta averaged 1.34 goals scored and 0.95 goals conceded
Strong home defense conceding only 0.79 goals per game on average
Bologna score 1.30 goals on average away from home while conceding 1.0
历史交锋
Even historical record with 2 wins each in 5 head-to-head matches
Goal difference stands at 5:3 in favor of Atalanta
The last match on May 17, 2026, ended in a 1-0 away win for Bologna
关键球员
Gianluca Scamacca is the top attacker for the hosts with 10 goals
Charles De Ketelaere contributed 3 goals and 5 assists with a 7.14 rating
Giacomo Raspadori scored 3 goals with a 7.00 average rating
门将
Marco Carnesecchi holds an average rating of 7.07
Lukasz Skorupski has a rating of 6.72
Both keepers bolster their respective defenses
影响因素
Home advantage at the Gewiss Stadium on natural grass
Historically low-scoring matches at this venue with 1.2 goals per game on average
The BTTS rate at this stadium is 40%