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Serie A

Juventus - Parma

08/29/2026, 06:45 PM

2 : 0
预期进球
Juventus
2.1
Total xG
2.7
Parma
0.6
最可能的比分

2:0

15%

3:0

10%

1:1

10%

2:1

9%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
JUVPAR

Juventus

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.58倍)
+1.06
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.23
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.8 赛季平均)
-0.23
防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
-0.12
排名优势 (第6位 vs 第13位, 相差7位)
+0.07
Kenan Yıldız未进大名单 (10球, 6助攻)
Weston McKennie未进大名单 (5球, 5助攻)
Dušan Vlahović未进大名单 (7球, 1助攻)
Andrea Cambiaso替补席 (3球, 4助攻)
Lloyd Kelly替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
40%进球产出缺失 (仅61%可用)

Parma

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.61倍)
-0.59
排名劣势 (第13位 vs 第6位, 相差7位)
-0.05
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
+0.01
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia未进大名单 (0球, 3助攻)
28%进球产出缺失 (仅77%可用)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

71%

平局

20%

客胜

8%

进球数

Over 1.5

77%

Under 1.5

23%

Over 2.5

51%

Under 2.5

49%

Over 3.5

29%

Under 3.5

71%

双重机会

主胜或平局

92%

客胜或平局

29%

非平局

80%

双方进球

41%

59%

关键因素
  • Strong mathematical backing with a calculated home win probability of 71%
  • Juventus dominated recent matches, averaging 63.8% possession and 6.2 shots on target
  • Historical dominance for the hosts with an 8:4 goals record in recent head-to-head encounters
风险因素
  • Kenan Yıldız, Weston McKennie, Dušan Vlahović, Andrea Cambiaso, Lloyd Kelly are missing, leaving only 61% of the usual goal threat available
  • Juventus's goal scoring has stalled recently, averaging just 1.0 goal per game compared to their season average of 1.8
概述

Juventus (8th place, 3 points) host Parma (15th place, 0 points) at the Juventus Stadium

Serie A fixture on August 29, 2026, 8:45 PM

The home side enters the match as clear favorites

近期状态

Juventus has a form of DWLDW, coming off a victory in their last match

Parma recorded a form of LLWWL and suffered a defeat in their most recent game

Both sides have secured exactly 2 wins in their last 5 matches

统计数据

Juventus conceded an average of only 0.73 goals per home game last season

Parma averaged just 0.75 goals scored per away match

Across the full season, the hosts scored 61 goals compared to 28 goals for the visitors

历史交锋

Out of 4 head-to-head matches, Juventus won 2, with 1 draw and 1 win for Parma

The total goal difference stands at 8:4 in favor of Juventus

The last meeting on February 1, 2026, ended in a clear 4-1 victory for Juventus

关键球员

Jonathan David has been in form with 3 goals in his last 5 matches and a 6.72 season rating

Pierre Kalulu commands the defense with a solid season rating of 7.00

Adrián Bernabé leads Parma's midfield with 3 goals and an average rating of 7.08

门将

Edoardo Corvi has made 17 appearances for Parma with a stable average rating of 6.90

Juventus kept a total of 16 clean sheets during the previous league campaign

影响因素

Historical matches at this venue on grass show a low average of 1.6 goals per game

Juventus benefited from a strong defensive home record, conceding only 16 goals in 22 matches

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