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Serie A

Udinese - Lazio

09/07/2026, 06:45 PM

1 : 2
预期进球
Udinese
1.3
Total xG
2.3
Lazio
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

1:0

12%

0:0

12%

2:0

9%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
UDILAZ

Udinese

防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
-0.07
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
+0.04
Christian Kabasele替补席 (3球, 0助攻)
Lennon Miller替补席 (0球, 2助攻)

Lazio

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.11
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
-0.11
Matteo Cancellieri替补席 (4球, 2助攻)
Boulaye Dia未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)
Adam Marusic未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)
21%进球产出缺失 (仅65%可用)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

44%

平局

31%

客胜

25%

进球数

Over 1.5

68%

Under 1.5

32%

Over 2.5

40%

Under 2.5

60%

Over 3.5

20%

Under 3.5

80%

双重机会

主胜或平局

75%

客胜或平局

56%

非平局

69%

双方进球

47%

53%

关键因素
  • Udinese is scoring more frequently recently averaging 1.4 goals compared to their season average
  • Historical advantage: Udinese is undefeated in their last 4 direct matches against Lazio
  • Mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 44%
风险因素
  • Matteo Cancellieri, Boulaye Dia, Adam Marusic are missing for Lazio leaving only 66% of goal threat available
  • Udinese played highly counter-oriented recently averaging only 41% ball possession
  • Dacia Arena has a low-scoring history with an average of only 1.8 goals per match
概述

Udinese host Lazio at the Dacia Arena

Serie A match on September 7, 2026, 8:45 PM

Mid-table clash between 9th and 7th place

Both teams aim to secure crucial points early in the season

近期状态

Udinese form: LWDWW with 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss

Lazio form: LWLWW with 3 wins and 2 losses

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Udinese enters the game with positive momentum

统计数据

Udinese average 1.18 goals scored and 1.26 goals conceded

Lazio score an average of 1.08 goals and concede 1.05

Dacia Arena averages 1.8 goals per match

Both teams scored in 40% of matches at this venue

历史交锋

4 head-to-head matches overall

1 win for Udinese, 0 away wins for Lazio, and 3 draws

Goal difference of 7:6 in favor of Udinese

The last meeting ended in an exciting 3:3 draw

关键球员

Keinan Davis with 10 goals and 4 assists this season

Jurgen Ekkelenkamp contributed 5 goals and 3 assists

Hassane Kamara with rising form and 2 goals recently

门将

Maduka Okoye kept 11 clean sheets for Udinese this season

Christos Mandas starts for Lazio with a recent 6.98 rating

Both keepers are in stable condition

影响因素

Home advantage on natural grass at the Dacia Arena

Udinese recorded 6 home clean sheets this season

Low-scoring venue history with 1.8 average goals

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