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Serie A

Genoa - Como

09/04/2026, 06:45 PM

1 : 4
预期进球
Genoa
1.0
Total xG
2.3
Como
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

12%

0:1

12%

0:2

9%

1:2

9%
xG 分解
GENCOM

Genoa

排名劣势 (第16位 vs 第4位, 相差12位)
-0.13
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.10
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
-0.10
Vitinha未进大名单 (5球, 1助攻)
Brooke Norton-Cuffy未进大名单 (2球, 1助攻)
18%进球产出缺失 (仅79%可用)

Como

排名优势 (第4位 vs 第16位, 相差12位)
+0.07
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.8球)
-0.07
Jesús Rodríguez未进大名单 (2球, 9助攻)
Marc Oliver Kempf未进大名单 (4球, 1助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.2球 vs 总体2球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

25%

平局

31%

客胜

43%

进球数

Over 1.5

68%

Under 1.5

32%

Over 2.5

40%

Under 2.5

60%

Over 3.5

20%

Under 3.5

80%

双重机会

主胜或平局

57%

客胜或平局

75%

非平局

69%

双方进球

47%

53%

关键因素
  • Como dominated recent matches with an average of 63.6% possession and 5.8 shots on target
  • Como is unbeaten in their last 5 matches with 4 wins and 1 draw
  • Mathematical analysis predicts an away win probability of 43% and expects 1.32 goals for Como
风险因素
  • Como's goal production has slowed down recently with 1.8 goals compared to their season average of 2.1
  • Genoa's goal production is also stalling with 1.0 goals recently compared to their season average of 1.3
  • Genoa averaged only 3.2 shots on target in recent matches
概述

Genoa (17th place, 0 points) host Como (8th place, 4 points) at the Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Serie A match on September 4, 2026, 8:45 PM

Como enters as favorites while Genoa looks to bounce back from a poor start

近期状态

Form Genoa: LLWLL

Genoa recorded 1 win and 4 losses in their recent matches

Form Como: WWWDW

Como is in great form with 4 wins and 1 draw

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Genoa scored 1.08 goals per game this season and conceded 1.34 goals

Como is stronger offensively with 1.71 goals per game while conceding only 0.76 goals

Genoa averaged 1.1 goals at home

Como scores an average of 1.67 goals away

历史交锋

4 head-to-head matches in history

Como dominated recent meetings with 2 wins and 2 draws

Genoa is still waiting for their first win against Como

The last duel ended 2-0 for Como

关键球员

Lorenzo Colombo leads Genoa's attack with 7 goals and 1 assist this season

Leo Østigård stabilizes the defense with an average rating of 7.13

Nico Paz shines for Como with 12 goals and 6 assists

Anastasios Douvikas is the most dangerous away attacker with 14 goals

Lucas Da Cunha has already contributed 6 goals and 5 assists

Not nominated for Genoa: Vitinha (5 goals, 1 assist), Brooke Norton-Cuffy (2 goals, 1 assist)

Not nominated for Como: Jesús Rodríguez (2 goals, 9 assists), Marc Oliver Kempf (4 goals, 1 assist)

门将

Justin Bijlow made 16 appearances so far with an average rating of 6.92

Jean Butez played 38 matches for Como and achieved 19 clean sheets

影响因素

Genoa's home stadium averages 3.0 goals per game

Both teams scored in 3 out of 5 home matches

The grass pitch at the Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris provides ideal conditions

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