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Serie A

Cagliari - Lecce

09/07/2026, 04:30 PM

1 : 0
预期进球
Cagliari
1.1
Total xG
2.0
Lecce
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

15%

1:0

13%

0:1

10%

2:0

8%
xG 分解
CAGLEC

Cagliari

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.75倍)
-0.23
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.05
44%进球产出缺失 (仅72%可用)

Lecce

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.57倍)
-0.70
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
+0.11
状态上升 (1.2 vs 0.8 赛季平均)
+0.11
客场表现不佳 (场均0.6球 vs 总体0.8球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

39%

平局

34%

客胜

28%

进球数

Over 1.5

62%

Under 1.5

38%

Over 2.5

34%

Under 2.5

66%

Over 3.5

15%

Under 3.5

85%

双重机会

主胜或平局

72%

客胜或平局

61%

非平局

66%

双方进球

42%

58%

关键因素
  • Cagliari averaged 4.2 shots on target in recent matches with 48.8% possession
  • Lecce played counter-oriented in recent matches with an average of 35.4% possession
  • The mathematical model calculates a 39% probability for a home win by Cagliari
风险因素
  • Cagliari has to play with a reduced starting XI strength of 72% of their usual goal threat
  • The model predicts a low probability of 34% for over 2.5 goals
  • Lecce conceded an average of 1.30 goals per away match last season
概述

Cagliari (12th place, 3 points) host Lecce (14th place, 3 points) at the Sardegna Arena

Serie A match on September 7, 2026, 6:30 PM

Both teams have recorded one win and one loss so far

近期状态

Cagliari's form is WWWLL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

The hosts recently suffered 2 consecutive losses

Lecce has a form of WWLWL

Lecce lost their last match 0-4 against Roma

统计数据

Cagliari scored avg. 1.05 goals and conceded avg. 1.39 goals per game last season

In home games, Cagliari scored avg. 1.05 and conceded avg. 1.10 goals

Lecce averaged 0.74 goals scored and 1.32 goals conceded

Lecce scored an average of 0.75 goals per away game

历史交锋

4 head-to-head matches in the database

Both teams won 2 matches each with 0 draws

Goal difference of 6:5 in favor of Cagliari

The last encounter ended 0-2 for Lecce

关键球员

Paul Mendy recorded 2 goals in 9 appearances

Juan Rodríguez played 17 games and scored 1 goal

Adam Obert has 35 appearances and provided 3 assists

Santiago Pierotti scored 1 goal and made 2 assists in 37 games

Tiago Gabriel scored 2 goals in 37 matches

Nikola Stulic scored 4 goals in 34 matches

门将

Elia Caprile in Cagliari's goal has an average rating of 6.92

Cagliari kept 8 clean sheets last season

Wladimiro Falcone in Lecce's goal has an average rating of 6.84

Lecce recorded 10 clean sheets last season

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass

Sardegna Arena saw an average of 2.0 goals per match in recent games

The BTTS rate stands at 40%

Cagliari scored 22 goals and conceded 23 goals at home

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