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Serie A

Fiorentina - Torino

09/05/2026, 01:00 PM

1 : 2
预期进球
Fiorentina
1.7
Total xG
2.7
Torino
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:0

10%

2:1

10%

3:0

6%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
FIOTOR

Fiorentina

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.59倍)
+0.83
防守实力 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
+0.39
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
+0.00
Albert Gudmundsson未进大名单 (5球, 4助攻)
Cher Ndour替补席 (3球, 0助攻)
Dodô未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)
80%进球产出缺失 (仅28%可用)

Torino

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.68倍)
-0.69
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.08
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
-0.08
Giovanni Simeone替补席 (11球, 0助攻)
Marcus Pedersen未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)
36%进球产出缺失 (仅68%可用)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

55%

平局

26%

客胜

18%

进球数

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

50%

Under 2.5

50%

Over 3.5

28%

Under 3.5

72%

双重机会

主胜或平局

82%

客胜或平局

45%

非平局

74%

双方进球

51%

49%

关键因素
  • Only 29% of attacking threat available, without Albert Gudmundsson, Cher Ndour, and Dodô
  • The mathematical prediction favors Fiorentina with a 55% home win probability
  • Fiorentina averaged 4.6 shots on target with 44.6% possession in recent matches
风险因素
  • Giovanni Simeone and Marcus Pedersen missing, only 69% of attacking threat available
  • Torino have only 4 days of rest since their last match
  • Torino conceded an average of 2.27 goals per away game last season
概述

Fiorentina (20th place, 0 points) host Torino (14th place, 0 points) at the Stadio Artemio Franchi

Serie A match on September 5, 2026, 3:00 PM

Both teams started with two defeats and are under early pressure

近期状态

Fiorentina's form is WDWLL with two consecutive defeats

Torino also started poorly with a DWLLL form and three consecutive losses

The hosts recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 defeats

The visitors registered 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 defeats

统计数据

Fiorentina averaged 1.08 goals scored per game last season

Torino conceded an average of 2.27 goals per away game

The home team has a balanced home record of 21 goals scored and 21 goals conceded in 19 games

历史交锋

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won once and 3 matches ended in a draw

The last meeting ended in a 2:2 draw on February 7, 2026

The overall goal difference is 4:3 in favor of Fiorentina

关键球员

Rolando Mandragora scored 7 goals and provided 3 assists in 34 appearances

Moise Kean contributed 8 goals and 1 assist in 26 matches

Nicolò Fagioli recorded 2 goals and 3 assists in 33 games

门将

David de Gea made 37 season appearances for Fiorentina

Lucas Perri starts in goal for Torino, while Alberto Paleari has 29 appearances

Fiorentina achieved 10 clean sheets last season, while Torino recorded 12

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at the Stadio Artemio Franchi

Torino travel with a weak away defense, having conceded 34 goals in 15 away matches

The venue historical matches averaged 2.0 goals per game

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