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Serie A

Parma - Monza

09/06/2026, 01:00 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
Parma
1.1
Total xG
2.2
Monza
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

13%

0:1

11%

1:0

11%

1:2

7%
xG 分解
PARMON

Parma

防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.16
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.09
状态下滑 (0.6 vs 0.9 赛季平均)
-0.09
Adrián Bernabé未进大名单 (3球, 1助攻)
37%进球产出缺失 (仅74%可用)

Monza

小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
+0.05
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
全员可用
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

34%

平局

33%

客胜

34%

进球数

Over 1.5

66%

Under 1.5

34%

Over 2.5

37%

Under 2.5

63%

Over 3.5

18%

Under 3.5

82%

双重机会

主胜或平局

66%

客胜或平局

66%

非平局

67%

双方进球

46%

54%

关键因素
  • Extremely balanced prediction: The mathematical model calculates nearly identical chances for a home win (34%) and an away win (34%)
  • Significant blow for Parma: Midfielder Adrián Bernabé (3 goals, 1 assist) is missing, leaving the home side with only 75% of their usual offensive strength
  • Tactical shooting advantage for the visitors: Monza averaged 4.6 shots on target in recent matches compared to Parma's 3.6
风险因素
  • Ongoing form crisis for Parma: The home side lost their last three consecutive matches and failed to score a single goal
  • Absences in Monza's squad: The injuries of midfielder M. Pessina and attacker K. Maussi Martins reduce the visitors' squad options
概述

Parma hosts Monza at the Stadio Ennio Tardini

Serie A match on September 6, 2026, 3:00 PM

Both teams sit in 16th and 17th place with zero points

A crucial early-season battle in the lower half of the table

近期状态

Parma enters with WWLLL form and three consecutive defeats

In their last match, Parma lost 0-2 against Cremonese

Monza travels with LWLLW form and won their last match 1-0 against Torino

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Parma scores an average of 0.74 goals per game this season

Monza's season average stands at 2.0 goals scored per game

Parma conceded 1.21 goals on average, while Monza conceded 0.0 goals

Parma's goal production is stalling at 0.6 goals recently compared to their season average of 0.9

历史交锋

There have been 2 head-to-head matches in the league

Parma recorded 1 win and 1 draw

The last encounter ended in a 1-1 draw on March 15, 2025

Parma scored 3 goals in total, while Monza scored 2

关键球员

Enrico Delprato stabilizes Parma's defense with 35 appearances and 2 goals

Mandela Keita contributes 1 goal and 1 assist in 37 appearances in midfield

Christian Ordóñez shows a rising form trend with a 7.17 average rating recently

门将

Edoardo Corvi guards Parma's goal with 17 appearances and 5 clean sheets at home

Demba Thiam starts in goal for Monza

影响因素

The match will be played on grass at the Stadio Ennio Tardini

Venue history shows an average of 2.2 total goals per game

Both teams scored in only 1 of the last 5 matches at this venue

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