Serie A
Juventus - AC Milan
09/06/2026, 06:45 PM
预期进球
1.7
2.5
0.8
1:1
13%2:0
11%2:1
10%3:0
6%3:1
5%xG 分解
Juventus
AC Milan
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
56%
平局
27%
客胜
17%
进球数
Over 1.5
73%
Under 1.5
27%
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
25%
Under 3.5
75%
双重机会
主胜或平局
83%
客胜或平局
44%
非平局
73%
双方进球
是
48%
否
52%
关键因素
- Severe squad depletion for Juventus: With non-selected players Kenan Yıldız, Weston McKennie, Dušan Vlahović, Andrea Cambiaso, and Lloyd Kelly missing, only 43% of the usual starting XI strength is available
- Defensive strength of Juventus: Conceding only 0.89 goals per game with 16 clean sheets this season demonstrates a highly reliable defense
- Mathematical prediction: The model projects a 56% probability of a home win for Juventus with 1.69 expected home goals
风险因素
- Juventus' stuttering offense: According to advanced stats, Juventus' recent goal production of 1.2 goals per match lags behind their season average of 1.8
- AC Milan's offensive upswing: The Milanese are currently scoring more frequently (1.8) compared to their season average of 1.5
- Historically low-scoring matches: Four of the last five head-to-head games ended in draws, with three of those finishing completely goalless at 0-0
概述
Juventus (5th place, 6 points) host AC Milan (4th place, 6 points) at the Juventus Stadium
Serie A match on September 6, 2026, 8:45 PM
A direct clash between two unbeaten teams near the top of the table
近期状态
Juventus has a form of WLDWW with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
AC Milan enters with a form of LWLWW, recording 3 wins and 2 losses
Both teams won their last two matches
统计数据
Juventus scored an average of 1.61 goals and conceded 0.89 goals per game this season
At home, the Bianconeri average 1.59 scored and 0.73 conceded goals
AC Milan scored an average of 1.39 goals and conceded 0.92 goals
Away from home, the Milanese average 1.4 goals scored and only 0.7 goals conceded per game
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventus won 1, AC Milan won 0, with 4 draws
Juventus scored 2 goals while AC Milan did not score
The last meeting on April 26, 2026 ended in a 0-0 draw
关键球员
Manuel Locatelli impresses in midfield with a rating of 7.4 and two assists
Francisco Conceição contributed three goals and five assists with a rating of 7.09
Pierre Kalulu stabilizes the defense with a rating of 7.0
Adrien Rabiot leads the midfield with six goals and a rating of 7.25
Luka Modrić shines with two goals, three assists, and a rating of 7.33
Strahinja Pavlović has already scored five season goals with a rating of 6.96
门将
Guglielmo Vicario is in goal for Juventus, which has kept 16 clean sheets this season
Mike Maignan appeared in 37 games this season for AC Milan, contributing to their 15 clean sheets
影响因素
At the Juventus Stadium, there was an average of 2.0 goals per game in recent matches
Both teams scored in only one out of five matches, while none of those games went over 2.5 goals