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Serie A

Inter - Napoli

09/05/2026, 04:00 PM

3 : 2
预期进球
Inter
1.5
Total xG
2.4
Napoli
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:0

12%

0:0

11%

2:0

10%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
INTNAP

Inter

进攻实力 (联赛平均的2.02倍)
+0.38
防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
-0.18
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
-0.02
Federico Dimarco未进大名单 (7球, 17助攻)
Lautaro Martínez未进大名单 (17球, 6助攻)
Nicolò Barella未进大名单 (3球, 8助攻)
Pio Esposito未进大名单 (7球, 4助攻)
Piotr Zieliński未进大名单 (6球, 3助攻)
Alessandro Bastoni未进大名单 (1球, 4助攻)
Yann Bisseck未进大名单 (3球, 2助攻)
Petar Sučić未进大名单 (2球, 2助攻)
Manuel Akanji未进大名单 (2球, 1助攻)
100%进球产出缺失 (仅0%可用)

Napoli

防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.25
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.07
Rasmus Højlund未进大名单 (12球, 5助攻)
Scott McTominay未进大名单 (10球, 3助攻)
Matteo Politano 未进大名单 (2球, 5助攻)
Alisson Santos未进大名单 (4球, 0助攻)
Amir Rrahmani 未进大名单 (2球, 1助攻)
Giovanni Di Lorenzo 未进大名单 (2球, 1助攻)
Stanislav Lobotka未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
100%进球产出缺失 (仅1%可用)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

49%

平局

30%

客胜

21%

进球数

Over 1.5

70%

Under 1.5

30%

Over 2.5

42%

Under 2.5

58%

Over 3.5

21%

Under 3.5

79%

双重机会

主胜或平局

79%

客胜或平局

51%

非平局

70%

双方进球

47%

53%

关键因素
  • Only 0% of goal threat available for Inter with key players like Federico Dimarco and Lautaro Martínez missing
  • Only 2% of goal threat available for Napoli with key players like Rasmus Højlund and Scott McTominay missing
  • Inter averaged 65% possession and 5.2 shots on target in recent matches
风险因素
  • Limited data availability for weather conditions
  • Inter failed to win any of the last 4 direct duels against Napoli
  • Napoli averaged only 4.4 shots on target per match recently
概述

Inter host Napoli at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Serie A match on September 5, 2026, 6:00 PM

Inter currently sit in 3rd place with 6 points

Napoli are in 10th place with 3 points

The home team enters as favorites with a predicted win probability of 49%

近期状态

Inter show a stable form with the record WDDWW

They recorded 3 wins and 2 draws in all competitions

Napoli have a record of LWWWL

The visitors registered 3 wins and 2 losses

Form code: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Inter average 2.34 goals scored and 0.92 goals conceded per game this season

Napoli score an average of 1.53 goals and concede 0.95 goals

In home games, Inter score an average of 2.38 goals and concede only 0.76 goals

On the road, Napoli concede an average of 1.12 goals per game

历史交锋

There has been no home win for Inter in the last 4 head-to-head matches

Napoli won 1 time with 3 draws

The goal difference stands at 5:7 from Inter's perspective

The last direct duel ended in a 2:2 draw on January 11, 2026

关键球员

Federico Dimarco averages a rating of 7.55 at the Giuseppe Meazza with 5 goals and 9 assists

Lautaro Martínez stands at 11 goals and 4 assists at the venue with a rating of 7.23

Nicolò Barella has 3 goals and an average rating of 7.10 at the Giuseppe Meazza

门将

Josep Martínez is in goal for Inter and has an average season rating of 6.83

Alex Meret guards the goal for Napoli and has an average season rating of 6.73

Inter recorded 18 clean sheets this season

Napoli kept 15 clean sheets in the current campaign

影响因素

The match is played on grass

The stadium statistics at the Giuseppe Meazza show an average of 3.4 goals per game

Both teams scored in 80% of the matches at this venue

Inter benefit from a strong home record with 50 goals scored in 21 home games

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