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Serie A

Roma - Atalanta

09/05/2026, 06:45 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Roma
1.5
Total xG
2.3
Atalanta
0.8
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:0

14%

0:0

12%

2:0

11%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
ROMATA

Roma

最近5场中5场打进2+球 (场均3球)
+0.39
状态上升 (3 vs 1.7 赛季平均)
+0.39
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.41倍)
+0.34
防守实力 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.34
最近5场中4场零封
-0.15
Matías Soulé未进大名单 (6球, 5助攻)
Zeki Çelik未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)

Atalanta

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.16
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
Mario Pašalić未进大名单 (3球, 5助攻)
Nicola Zalewski未进大名单 (2球, 4助攻)
Giacomo Raspadori未进大名单 (3球, 1助攻)
10%进球产出缺失 (仅81%可用)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

52%

平局

30%

客胜

19%

进球数

Over 1.5

68%

Under 1.5

32%

Over 2.5

40%

Under 2.5

60%

Over 3.5

20%

Under 3.5

80%

双重机会

主胜或平局

81%

客胜或平局

48%

非平局

70%

双方进球

44%

56%

关键因素
  • Outstanding home defensive record for Roma with only 10 goals conceded in 21 home matches
  • Roma recently dominated matches with an average of 61.6% possession and 7.4 shots on target
  • The mathematical model forecasts Roma as favorites with a 52% win probability
风险因素
  • Atalanta's historical dominance with 3 wins in the last 4 head-to-head matches
  • Absence of the injured L. Pellegrini who contributed 4 goals and 2 assists this season
  • Atalanta arrive in strong form with 3 consecutive wins in recent matches
概述

Roma host Atalanta at the Stadio Olimpico

Serie A fixture on September 5, 2026, 8:45 PM

Both teams enjoy a perfect start to the season with 6 points each

近期状态

Roma boast a perfect form curve of WWWWW

Atalanta are also unbeaten with a record of DDWWW

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Roma concede an average of only 0.82 goals per game

At home Roma concede just 0.48 goals per match

Atalanta score an average of 1.34 goals

历史交锋

Atalanta dominate the recent record with 3 wins from the last 4 matches

Roma are without a win against the visitors in this period

Their last match ended 1:1

关键球员

Donyell Malen is Roma's top scorer with 14 goals this season

Paulo Dybala has provided 7 assists as the key playmaker

Charles De Ketelaere scored 3 goals in his last 5 games

门将

Mile Svilar kept 18 clean sheets this season for Roma

Marco Carnesecchi achieved 13 clean sheets for Atalanta

Both keepers provide elite stability

影响因素

Roma rely on strong home defense with only 10 goals conceded in 21 games

Stadio Olimpico matches average 2.4 goals

The game will be played on grass

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