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Serie A

Torino - Roma

09/14/2026, 04:30 PM

0 : 2
预期进球
Torino
0.9
Total xG
2.7
Roma
1.7
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

0:2

11%

1:2

10%

0:3

6%

1:3

6%
xG 分解
TORROM

Torino

排名劣势 (第12位 vs 第3位, 相差9位)
-0.09
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.08
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
-0.08

Roma

防守实力 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.62
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.6球)
+0.28
状态上升 (2.6 vs 1.7 赛季平均)
+0.28
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
排名优势 (第3位 vs 第12位, 相差9位)
+0.07
Manu Koné未进大名单 (2球, 3助攻)
Wesley替补席 (5球, 0助攻)
Evan Ndicka替补席 (3球, 0助攻)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.42
+0.42
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

18%

平局

26%

客胜

56%

进球数

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

50%

Under 2.5

50%

Over 3.5

28%

Under 3.5

72%

双重机会

主胜或平局

44%

客胜或平局

82%

非平局

74%

双方进球

51%

49%

关键因素
  • Strong offensive tactics: Roma recently averaged 7.2 shots on target per match compared to Torino's 2.4
  • Form gap: Roma is currently scoring 2.6 goals per game, far above their season average of 1.7, while Torino's goal production has stalled at 1.0
  • Squad rotation: Roma has not nominated Manu Koné, Wesley, and Evan Ndicka for this match
风险因素
  • Fatigue factor: Roma enters the match with a short rest period of only 4 days since their last game
  • Lack of penetration: Torino's attack has recently averaged only 2.4 shots on target per match
概述

Torino hosts Roma at the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino

Serie A match on September 14, 2026, 6:30 PM

Roma currently holds 2nd place with 9 points from 3 matches

Torino is in 14th place with 3 points

The away side enters as clear favorites

近期状态

Torino's form stands at WLLLW with 2 wins and 3 losses

Roma's recent form is strong at WWWWD, including 4 wins and 1 draw

Torino's recent goal production has stalled, averaging 1.0 goals compared to their season average of 1.3

Roma is in excellent form, averaging 2.6 goals recently, which is higher than their season average of 1.7

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Torino averaged 1.16 goals scored and 1.66 goals conceded per match this season

Roma averaged 1.55 goals scored and conceded just 0.82 goals per match this season

Torino recorded 12 clean sheets with 19 matches seeing both teams score

Roma kept 18 clean sheets while 13 of their matches ended with both teams scoring

历史交锋

There have been 5 head-to-head matches between the two teams

Roma leads the historical record with 3 wins compared to Torino's 2 wins

The goal difference in these meetings is 4 to 7 goals against Torino

The last head-to-head match ended in a 2-0 victory for Roma

关键球员

Giovanni Simeone leads Torino with 11 season goals and a rating of 6.85

Nikola Vlašić contributed 8 goals and 3 assists this season with a rating of 7.00

Ché Adams recorded 6 goals and 2 assists so far with a rating of 6.85

Donyell Malen is Roma's top attacker with 14 season goals and a rating of 7.12

Paulo Dybala has registered 2 goals and 7 assists this season with a strong rating of 7.23

Matías Soulé has contributed 6 goals and 5 assists with a rating of 7.01

门将

Lucas Perri starts in goal for Torino, boasting an average rating of 7.26 in home games

Mile Svilar protects Roma's goal, keeping 18 clean sheets this season with an average rating of 7.01

影响因素

Torino averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.26 conceded in home games at the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino

The stadium historically averages 2.4 goals per match

Roma scores an average of 1.53 goals and concedes 1.24 goals away on grass surfaces

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