Serie A
Lazio - AC Milan
09/12/2026, 04:00 PM
预期进球
1.1
2.1
1.0
1:1
15%0:0
15%1:0
12%0:1
11%2:1
7%xG 分解
Lazio
AC Milan
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
34%
平局
34%
客胜
32%
进球数
Over 1.5
63%
Under 1.5
37%
Over 2.5
34%
Under 2.5
66%
Over 3.5
15%
Under 3.5
85%
双重机会
主胜或平局
68%
客胜或平局
66%
非平局
66%
双方进球
是
43%
否
57%
关键因素
- Balanced outlook: The mathematical prediction shows a 34% probability for a home win compared to 32% for an away win
- Defensive resilience: Both teams have kept 15 clean sheets this season, indicating highly stable defensive lines
- Squad limitations for Lazio: Important team members Boulaye Dia and Adam Marusic are missing from the current selection
风险因素
- Offensive flow: Lazio recently averaged 4.6 shots on target per match, while AC Milan averaged 3.8 in recent games
- Lazio midfield weakness: The absence of N. Rovella due to a calf injury limits creative options in central midfield
- Low scoring expectations: Predictions indicate a low-scoring game with the Over 2.5 line valued at only 34%
概述
Lazio host AC Milan at the Stadio Olimpico
Serie A match on September 12, 2026, 4:00 PM
Lazio currently sit in 3rd place with 9 points from 3 games
AC Milan are in 5th place with 7 points
A direct clash in the upper tier of the table
近期状态
Lazio form across all competitions: WLWWW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
The home team recorded 4 wins and 1 loss in their last 5 games
AC Milan form across all competitions: WLWWD
The visitors secured 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss
Lazio enter the match on a 3-game winning streak, while Milan recently drew
统计数据
Lazio scored an average of 1.08 goals per game this season and conceded 1.05
AC Milan averaged 1.39 goals scored and 0.92 goals conceded
Lazio kept 15 clean sheets throughout the season
AC Milan also recorded 15 clean sheets
On the road Milan concede an average of only 0.7 goals per game
历史交锋
5 head-to-head matches in historical records
Lazio celebrated 3 wins, AC Milan won 1 time with 1 draw
The goal difference stands at 6:4 in favor of Lazio
The last encounter on March 15, 2026 ended in a 1:0 win for Lazio
关键球员
Mattia Zaccagni shows rising form with an average rating of 7.21 at home
Matteo Cancellieri contributed 4 goals this season
Luka Modrić leads Milan's midfield with an average season rating of 7.33
Adrien Rabiot scored 6 goals and provided 4 assists for the visitors this season
Not nominated for Lazio are Boulaye Dia and Adam Marusic
门将
Christos Mandas reached an average rating of 7.16 in his last 4 appearances for Lazio
Mike Maignan starts in goal for AC Milan with an average season rating of 7.07
Both teams secured 15 clean sheets each this season
影响因素
Home advantage at the Stadio Olimpico on grass surface
Venue statistics show an average of 2.6 goals per game with a BTTS rate of 40%
Lazio scored an average of 1.08 goals and conceded 1.00 at home
AC Milan scored an average of 1.4 goals per game away from home