Serie A
Napoli - Bologna
09/13/2026, 04:00 PM
预期进球
1.3
2.3
1.0
1:1
15%0:0
12%1:0
12%2:0
9%2:1
8%xG 分解
Napoli
Bologna
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
42%
平局
31%
客胜
26%
进球数
Over 1.5
68%
Under 1.5
32%
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5
60%
Over 3.5
20%
Under 3.5
80%
双重机会
主胜或平局
74%
客胜或平局
58%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
47%
否
53%
关键因素
- Absences for Napoli: Scott McTominay (10 goals, 3 assists) and Frank Anguissa (4 goals, 1 assist) are missing from the starting lineup
- Tactical averages: Napoli recently averaged 4.4 shots on target per match compared to Bologna's 4.2
- Model favorites: Mathematical analysis calculates a 42% home win probability for Napoli
风险因素
- Negative form trend: Both teams showed a negative trend recently with a stalling goal production of 1.2 goals on average
- H2H history: Bologna won the last meeting in Naples 3-2 and is considered the dominant team in recent encounters
概述
Napoli host Bologna at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Serie A match on September 13, 2026, 6:00 PM
A clash between two struggling sides in the lower half of the table
Napoli currently sit in 12th place with 3 points
Bologna occupy 16th place with just 1 point
近期状态
Napoli form: WWLLL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Bologna form: WDLLD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Napoli suffered 3 consecutive defeats in their last games
Bologna are still searching for their first win of the season after a draw in their last match
统计数据
Napoli scored an average of 1.53 goals and conceded 0.95 goals per game this season
In home games, Napoli averaged 1.5 goals scored and 0.82 goals conceded
Bologna scored an average of 1.29 goals per game and conceded 1.21 goals this season
In away matches, Bologna conceded an average of exactly 1 goal per game
历史交锋
4 head-to-head matches in recent years
Bologna achieved 2 wins, while Napoli secured 1 win and 1 match ended in a draw
Bologna won the last meeting 3-2 away at Napoli on May 11, 2026
The goals ratio in direct duels is balanced at 6-6
关键球员
Rasmus Højlund scored 12 goals and provided 5 assists in 33 season appearances
Matteo Politano has 2 goals and 5 assists to his name this campaign
Kevin De Bruyne contributed 5 goals and 2 assists in 18 matches this season
Federico Bernardeschi scored 4 goals and provided 2 assists in 29 season appearances
Nicolò Cambiaghi recorded 3 goals and prepared 4 further goals this season
Lewis Ferguson recently impressed with an average rating of 7.44 in the past matches
门将
Vanja Milinković-Savić starts in goal for Napoli with an average season rating of 6.83
Napoli recorded 15 clean sheets across the entire season
Massimo Pessina guards Bologna's goal with an average season rating of 6.79
Bologna kept a total of 12 clean sheets in this campaign
影响因素
Matches at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona recently averaged 2.8 goals per game
In 60% of the last games at this venue, more than 2.5 goals were scored
The match is played on natural grass