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Serie A

Inter - Udinese

09/14/2026, 06:45 PM

5 : 3
预期进球
Inter
2.7
Total xG
3.5
Udinese
0.9
最可能的比分

3:0

9%

2:1

9%

3:1

8%

4:0

6%

4:1

5%
xG 分解
INTUDI

Inter

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.82倍)
+1.59
防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.41
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第10位, 相差9位)
+0.12
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.4球)
+0.04
Federico Dimarco未进大名单 (7球, 17助攻)
Lautaro Martínez替补席 (17球, 6助攻)
Hakan Çalhanoğlu替补席 (9球, 4助攻)
Yann Bisseck未进大名单 (3球, 2助攻)
Petar Sučić未进大名单 (2球, 2助攻)
23%进球产出缺失 (仅70%可用)

Udinese

防守不足 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.24
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
+0.10
状态上升 (1.6 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
+0.10
排名劣势 (第10位 vs 第1位, 相差9位)
-0.09
Oumar Solet未进大名单 (3球, 1助攻)
Jakub Piotrowski未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.42
+0.42
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

75%

平局

16%

客胜

9%

进球数

Over 1.5

88%

Under 1.5

12%

Over 2.5

69%

Under 2.5

31%

Over 3.5

47%

Under 3.5

53%

双重机会

主胜或平局

91%

客胜或平局

25%

非平局

84%

双方进球

55%

45%

关键因素
  • Mathematical advantage: The predictive model calculates a home win with a probability of 75%
  • Strong home record: Inter score an average of 2.38 goals per game at home and face a defense that conceded 27 goals away
  • Dominant tactical system: Inter averaged 64% ball possession and 6.4 shots on target in recent matches, showing high dominance
风险因素
  • Increased efficiency: Udinese are currently scoring more frequently (1.6 goals on average) than their season average (1.3 goals)
  • Historical setback: Udinese managed to win 2-1 away against Inter in August 2025
概述

Inter (3rd place, 9 points) host Udinese (13th place, 4 points) at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Serie A match on September 14, 2026, 8:45 PM

Inter enter as favorites for this clash

近期状态

Inter show a form of DWWWL with 3 wins and 1 loss from their last 5 matches

Udinese show a form of WDWWL with also 3 wins and 1 loss

Both teams suffered a defeat in their most recent match

Form code: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Inter scored an average of 2.34 goals per game this season and conceded 0.92 goals

Udinese average 1.18 goals scored and 1.26 goals conceded per game

Inter's home record stands at a strong 50 goals scored in 21 home games

Udinese conceded 27 goals in 23 away games so far

历史交锋

There have been 5 head-to-head matches between these teams

Inter achieved 4 wins while Udinese won 1 match

The last direct duel ended in a 1-0 victory for Inter

A total of 9-5 goals were scored in favor of Inter in these matches

关键球员

Marcus Thuram has already scored 13 goals and provided 6 assists this season

Alessandro Bastoni shines with an average season rating of 7.22 and 4 assists

Andy Diouf recently showed rising form with an average rating of 7.37 in recent games

For Udinese, Keinan Davis is a major offensive threat with 10 goals and 4 assists this season

Hassane Kamara recently impressed with 2 goals and 1 assist in recent matches

Jurgen Ekkelenkamp holds an average season rating of 6.94 with 5 goals and 3 assists

Not nominated for Inter are Federico Dimarco, Lautaro Martínez, Hakan Çalhanoğlu, Yann Bisseck and Petar Sučić

门将

Josep Martínez guards the goal for Inter with 5 season appearances so far

Maduka Okoye is in goal for Udinese having completed 30 appearances this season

Inter achieved 18 clean sheets this season while Udinese recorded 11 clean sheets

影响因素

The match is played on the grass surface of Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Inter show a powerful home advantage with 50 goals scored and only 16 conceded in 21 home games

The venue history indicates an average of 3.4 total goals per game with a high rate of both teams scoring

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