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Serie A

Como - Parma

09/14/2026, 04:30 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Como
2.0
Total xG
2.5
Parma
0.6
最可能的比分

2:0

16%

3:0

10%

1:1

10%

2:1

9%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
COMPAR

Como

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.43倍)
+0.66
防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.46
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均3球)
+0.26
状态上升 (3 vs 2.2 赛季平均)
+0.26
排名优势 (第4位 vs 第13位, 相差9位)
+0.09
Anastasios Douvikas 替补席 (14球, 1助攻)
Álex Valle替补席 (1球, 4助攻)
17%进球产出缺失 (仅82%可用)

Parma

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.41倍)
-1.21
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.09
状态下滑 (0.6 vs 0.9 赛季平均)
-0.09
排名劣势 (第13位 vs 第4位, 相差9位)
-0.06
Adrián Bernabé替补席 (3球, 1助攻)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.42
+0.42
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

70%

平局

22%

客胜

8%

进球数

Over 1.5

73%

Under 1.5

27%

Over 2.5

46%

Under 2.5

54%

Over 3.5

25%

Under 3.5

75%

双重机会

主胜或平局

92%

客胜或平局

30%

非平局

78%

双方进球

38%

62%

关键因素
  • Offensive strength: Como is currently scoring more frequently (3.0 goals) than their season average (2.2 goals)
  • Attacking struggles: Parma's goal production is stalling with a recent average of 0.6 goals compared to 0.9 on average
  • Tactical dominance: Como recently controlled possession (60% possession) with an average of 6.6 shots on target
风险因素
  • Squad depletion for Como: The absence of Anastasios Douvikas and Álex Valle costs the home team around 18% of their goal threat
  • Missing playmaker for Parma: The unselected Adrián Bernabé weakens the visitors' midfield options
概述

Como (6th place, 7 points) host Parma (17th place, 1 point) at the Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia

Serie A match on September 14, 2026, 6:30 PM

Como enters the match as clear favorites

近期状态

Como shows excellent form with WDWWW (4 wins, 1 draw)

Most recently securing a dominant 4-1 victory against RB Leipzig

Parma is struggling with WLLLD (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses)

The visitors recently drew 1-1 against Monza

统计数据

Como averages 1.71 goals scored and 0.76 conceded per game this season

At home, Como shines with an average of 1.75 goals scored and only 0.75 conceded

Parma has a weaker record with avg. 0.74 goals scored and 1.21 conceded

Away from home, Parma concedes an average of 1.31 goals per game

历史交锋

Historically Como dominated with 2 wins and 2 draws in 4 head-to-head matches

The last meeting ended in a 1-0 home win for Como on May 17, 2026

Parma is still waiting for their first win against Como in this period

关键球员

Nico Paz impresses this season with 12 goals, 6 assists and a 7.53 rating

Martin Baturina contributes 6 goals, 3 assists and a 7.16 rating

Lucas Da Cunha records 6 goals, 5 assists and a 7.13 rating

Nesta Elphege stands at 2 goals this season with a 6.72 rating

Enrico Delprato contributed 2 goals with a 6.71 rating so far

Mandela Keita has 1 goal and a rating of 6.84

门将

Robert Sánchez guards the goal for the home side, which kept 19 clean sheets this season

On the other side stands Edoardo Corvi with an average rating of 6.9

The visitors' defense managed 13 clean sheets so far this term

影响因素

At the Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, matches average a high-scoring 3.6 goals per game

The over 2.5 rate stands at 60% in historical fixtures at this venue

Both teams scored in 40% of the matches on this grass pitch

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