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Serie A

Venezia - Fiorentina

09/11/2026, 06:45 PM

2 : 4
预期进球
Venezia
1.0
Total xG
1.9
Fiorentina
1.0
最可能的比分

0:0

16%

1:1

15%

1:0

12%

0:1

12%

2:0

7%
xG 分解
VENFIO

Venezia

小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
-2.02
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.61倍)
+1.70
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.11
状态下滑 (1.2 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
-0.11
全员可用

Fiorentina

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.48倍)
-0.66
防守不足 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
+0.11
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.05
Albert Gudmundsson未进大名单 (5球, 4助攻)
Marco Brescianini未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
51%进球产出缺失 (仅45%可用)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

33%

平局

35%

客胜

32%

进球数

Over 1.5

59%

Under 1.5

41%

Over 2.5

31%

Under 2.5

69%

Over 3.5

13%

Under 3.5

87%

双重机会

主胜或平局

68%

客胜或平局

67%

非平局

65%

双方进球

40%

60%

关键因素
  • Only 45% of goal threat available for Fiorentina, as Albert Gudmundsson and Marco Brescianini are not in the starting XI
  • Venezia averaged 60.4% possession in recent matches
  • The mathematical prediction calculates a tight match with a 35% probability of a draw
风险因素
  • Limited data availability regarding the form of home players
  • Venezia's goal production is faltering recently, averaging 1.2 goals compared to the season average of 1.6
  • Fiorentina's goal production is also faltering recently, averaging 1.2 goals compared to the season average of 1.4
概述

Venezia host Fiorentina at the Stadio Pierluigi Penzo

Serie A match on September 11, 2026, 8:45 PM

Bottom of the table clash between 18th and 20th place

Both teams are still without points after three matchdays

近期状态

Venezia with form code WLLLL, recording 1 win and 4 losses

Fiorentina with form code DWLLL, recording 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses

Both teams recently suffered three consecutive league defeats

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Venezia scores an average of 1.67 goals and concedes 1.67 goals per game this season

In home games, Venezia averaged 2 goals scored and conceded 0 goals so far

Fiorentina averaged 1.08 goals scored and 1.32 goals conceded across 38 matches

Away from home, Fiorentina averages 1.05 goals scored and 1.53 goals conceded

历史交锋

2 head-to-head matches in recent years

Venezia leads with 1 win, while Fiorentina is without a win alongside 1 draw

The last match ended in a 2-1 home win for Venezia on May 12, 2025

Venezia scored 2 goals, while Fiorentina scored 1 goal

关键球员

John Yeboah scored 2 goals and provided 1 assist in 4 home games with a 9.48 rating

Ridgeciano Haps has an average home rating of 7.65 across 4 home games

Gianluca Busio holds an average home rating of 7.33

Nicolò Fagioli achieved an average rating of 7.20 in 33 games this season

Luca Ranieri achieved a season rating of 6.73 in 34 matches

Cher Ndour holds an average season rating of 6.69 in 33 matches

门将

Filip Stanković is in goal for Venezia, who kept 2 clean sheets so far

David de Gea guards the net for Fiorentina, who recorded 10 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Venezia benefited from an average of 2 home goals scored at the Stadio Pierluigi Penzo

The stadium averages 3.7 goals per game

Fiorentina scored an average of 1.05 goals away from home

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