🇮🇹

Serie A

Lecce - Monza

09/13/2026, 01:00 PM

3 : 2
预期进球
Lecce
1.4
Total xG
2.5
Monza
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

2:0

8%

1:2

7%

0:2

5%
xG 分解
LECMON

Lecce

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.77倍)
+0.16
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.07
状态下滑 (0.6 vs 0.8 赛季平均)
-0.07
Santiago Pierotti替补席 (1球, 2助攻)

Monza

小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
-0.18
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
+0.08
状态上升 (1.6 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
+0.08
防守不足 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.03
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.8球)
+0.35
+0.35
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

41%

平局

30%

客胜

29%

进球数

Over 1.5

74%

Under 1.5

26%

Over 2.5

47%

Under 2.5

53%

Over 3.5

25%

Under 3.5

75%

双重机会

主胜或平局

71%

客胜或平局

59%

非平局

70%

双方进球

53%

47%

关键因素
  • The mathematical model favors Lecce with a win probability of 41%
  • Lecce recently averaged a counter-oriented style with 42% possession
  • Monza is currently scoring more frequently, averaging 1.6 goals compared to their season average of 1.3
风险因素
  • Lecce scores only 0.72 home goals per game on average this season
  • Lecce's goal production is stagnating with a recent average of only 0.6 goals
  • Limited data availability regarding player form data for Monza
概述

Lecce host Monza at the Stadio Comunale Via del Mare

Serie A match on September 13, 2026, 3:00 PM

Lecce is in 14th place with 3 points

Monza occupies 18th place with 1 point

Both teams aim to correct their poor start to the season

近期状态

Lecce form: WLWLL

Monza form: WLLWD

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Lecce recently recorded 2 wins and 3 losses

Monza obtained 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last matches

统计数据

Lecce scores an average of 0.74 goals per game

The hosts concede an average of 1.32 goals per match

Monza records a season average of 2.0 goals scored per game

Defensively, Monza concedes an average of 0.0 goals

历史交锋

2 head-to-head matches in the database

1 win for Lecce and 1 draw

Lecce scored 2 goals, while Monza scored 1 goal

The last encounter on February 16, 2025 ended in a 0:0 draw

关键球员

Tiago Gabriel has 37 appearances, 2 goals, and a rating of 6.87

Lassana Coulibaly stands at 33 games with 3 goals and 1 assist (rating 6.81)

Antonino Gallo played 37 matches with 4 assists and a rating of 6.72

Michael Folorunsho played 2 away games at this venue with a rating of 6.31

Ebenezer Akinsanmiro shows 2 matches at this venue with a rating of 6.22

Jay Robinson appeared 1 time at this stadium (0 goals, 0 assists)

门将

Wladimiro Falcone plays in goal for Lecce and has a season average rating of 6.84

Lecce kept 10 clean sheets overall this season

Monza has kept 2 clean sheets so far this term

影响因素

The match takes place on natural grass at the Stadio Comunale Via del Mare

This venue averages 2.2 goals per game

The stadium stats show a 20% rate for both teams to score matches

The rate for matches with over 2.5 goals stands at 40% at this venue

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。