🇮🇹

Serie A

Venezia - Lazio

09/19/2026, 06:45 PM

0 : 2
预期进球
Venezia
1.1
Total xG
2.5
Lazio
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

0:0

10%

0:1

10%

1:2

9%

0:2

8%
xG 分解
VENLAZ

Venezia

小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
-1.16
防守不足 (场均失2.5球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
+1.06
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.6倍)
+0.80
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.19
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
-0.19
全员可用

Lazio

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.7倍)
-0.14
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.00
Boulaye Dia未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3球)
+0.45
+0.45
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

28%

平局

30%

客胜

42%

进球数

Over 1.5

72%

Under 1.5

28%

Over 2.5

45%

Under 2.5

55%

Over 3.5

23%

Under 3.5

77%

双重机会

主胜或平局

58%

客胜或平局

72%

非平局

70%

双方进球

51%

49%

关键因素
  • Form and standings gap: Fifth-placed Lazio (Form: LWWWD) travel as clear favorites to face bottom-placed Venezia who have zero points (Form: LLLLL)
  • Tactical approach: Venezia recently averaged 60.4% possession and 4.0 shots on target, while Lazio also averaged 4.0 shots on target in their past matches
  • Model prediction: The mathematical analysis favors Lazio with a 42% win probability, projecting 1.38 expected goals for the visitors compared to 1.08 for Venezia
风险因素
  • Offensive crisis for Venezia: According to the analysis, 0% of the seasonal goal threat is currently available in the squad
  • Lazio absence: Attacker Boulaye Dia (1 goal, 2 assists) is not included in the visitors' squad
  • Limited data available regarding the home team's current player form
概述

Venezia host Lazio at the Stadio Pierluigi Penzo

Serie A match on September 19, 2026, 8:45 PM

Bottom-placed Venezia face fifth-placed Lazio

The hosts are under intense pressure having gained zero points from four matches

近期状态

Venezia is in a severe crisis with five consecutive defeats

Lazio is unbeaten in four matches, recording three wins and one draw

The visitors recently secured a 2-2 draw against AC Milan

Venezia lost their last home game 2-4 against Fiorentina

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Home form: LLLLL

Away form: LWWWD

统计数据

Venezia average 1.67 goals scored and 1.67 goals conceded per match this season

In home games, Venezia averaged 2.0 goals scored and zero goals conceded so far

Lazio averaged 1.08 goals scored and 1.05 goals conceded per match over the entire last season

In away matches, the visitors conceded an average of 1.15 goals

历史交锋

There have been 2 head-to-head encounters in recent seasons

Lazio recorded one win while 1 match ended in a draw

The last meeting on February 22, 2025, ended in a goalless 0-0 draw

The overall goal difference stands at 3-1 in favor of the visitors

关键球员

John Yeboah averages a 7.74 rating at home with 2 goals and one assist

Antoine Hainaut contributed one home goal with an average rating of 6.96

Akor Adams scored once in home games, reaching an average rating of 7.00

Mattia Zaccagni holds an average rating of 7.31 in his last 5 appearances with 2 assists

Matteo Cancellieri recorded 4 goals in 30 appearances this season and scored once in his last 5 matches

Tijjani Noslin registered 4 seasonal goals and scored once in the past 5 games

门将

Filip Stanković is in goal for Venezia with an average home rating of 6.73

Christos Mandas guards Lazio's goal, averaging a 7.12 rating in his last 5 games

Venezia kept 2 clean sheets this season

Lazio recorded 15 clean sheets across the entire last season

影响因素

The match will be played on grass at the Stadio Pierluigi Penzo

The venue history shows a high average of 4.3 goals per game

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。