Serie A
Parma - Genoa
09/20/2026, 01:00 PM
预期进球
1.0
1.9
0.9
0:0
16%1:1
15%1:0
13%0:1
11%2:0
8%xG 分解
Parma
Genoa
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
36%
平局
35%
客胜
29%
进球数
Over 1.5
60%
Under 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
31%
Under 2.5
69%
Over 3.5
13%
Under 3.5
87%
双重机会
主胜或平局
71%
客胜或平局
64%
非平局
65%
双方进球
是
40%
否
60%
关键因素
- Weakened attack: Genoa must play without Lorenzo Colombo and Vitinha which reduces offensive threat
- Tactical stagnation: Parma averaged only 2.8 shots on target per game in recent matches
- Low goal expectation: The mathematical model calculates only a 31% probability for over 2.5 goals
风险因素
- Sascha Britschgi is missing for Parma leaving only 65% of the usual goal threat available
- Parma's ongoing offensive struggles with only 0.4 goals averaged in recent matches
- Genoa's defensive vulnerability away from home with 1.39 goals conceded per away match on average
概述
Parma hosts Genoa at Stadio Ennio Tardini
Serie A match on September 20, 2026, 3:00 PM
Both teams are at the bottom of the table with only one point
A crucial duel in the relegation battle
近期状态
Parma has a record of LLLDL with one draw and four losses (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Genoa shows a form of LLLDW with one win and three losses
The hosts recently lost 1-2 against Como
Genoa arrives after a 1-0 win against Südtirol
统计数据
Parma averages 0.74 goals scored and 1.21 goals conceded per game
Genoa scores 1.08 goals and concedes 1.34 goals on average per game
Parma has failed to score 16 times this season
Genoa concedes 1.39 goals per away game on average
历史交锋
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Parma has 0 wins and Genoa has 2 wins with 2 draws
Parma scored 0 goals and conceded 2 in these direct duels
The last encounter ended in a 0-0 draw on January 18, 2026
关键球员
Emanuele Valeri has 2 assists and a 6.82 average rating in defense
Mandela Keita recorded 1 goal and 1 assist with a 6.84 rating in midfield
Enrico Delprato has scored 2 goals with a 6.71 average rating
Leo Østigård contributes 5 goals and a strong rating of 7.13 for Genoa
Junior Messias has scored 3 goals so far with a 6.86 rating
Tommaso Baldanzi has provided 2 assists with a rating of 6.85
门将
Edoardo Corvi played 17 games this season with an average rating of 6.90
Justin Bijlow guarded Genoa's goal 16 times with an average rating of 6.92
Both goalkeepers display similar statistical consistency in the current campaign
影响因素
Parma's home advantage at Stadio Ennio Tardini is based on 16 goals in 22 home matches
The venue averages 1.6 total goals per game historically
The grass pitch offers stable playing conditions for both sides
The historical rate for over 2.5 goals at this stadium sits at 0 percent