Serie A
Roma - Inter
09/19/2026, 04:00 PM
预期进球
1.7
2.6
1.0
1:1
13%2:0
10%2:1
10%3:0
6%1:2
5%xG 分解
Roma
Inter
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
53%
平局
27%
客胜
20%
进球数
Over 1.5
75%
Under 1.5
25%
Over 2.5
49%
Under 2.5
51%
Over 3.5
27%
Under 3.5
73%
双重机会
主胜或平局
80%
客胜或平局
47%
非平局
73%
双方进球
是
51%
否
49%
关键因素
- Mathematical edge: The prediction model calculates a 53% probability for a Roma home win
- Attacking threat: Inter averaged 7.8 shots on target and 66% possession in recent matches
- Squad selection impact for Inter: Key contributors like Hakan Çalhanoğlu (9 goals, 4 assists) and Pio Esposito are not nominated
风险因素
- Historical hurdle: Inter has won 3 out of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Roma
- Opponent's offensive surge: Inter currently scores more frequently (2.8 goals average) than their season average of 2.3
概述
Roma hosts Inter at the Stadio Olimpico
Top-tier Serie A clash on September 19, 2026, 4:00 PM
Both sides lead the table with 12 points each
Direct battle for the sole top spot in the league
近期状态
Roma's recent form is WWWDW with 4 wins and 1 draw
Inter shows WWWLW with 4 wins and 1 loss
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Roma remains undefeated in their last 5 matches
统计数据
Roma concedes an average of only 0.48 goals per home game
Inter has scored 89 goals in total, averaging 2.34 per game
Roma's defense at home is highly stable with 11 clean sheets
Inter averages 2.29 goals per away match this season
历史交锋
4 head-to-head matches in recent seasons
Inter dominates the historical record with 3 wins to Roma's 1
The last encounter ended in a 5-2 victory for Inter
Roma scored 3 goals while Inter scored 7 in these duels
关键球员
Donyell Malen with 14 goals this season and a 7.77 rating over the last 5 games
Federico Dimarco shines with 7 goals and 17 assists
Lautaro Martínez leads Inter's frontline with 17 goals this season
门将
Mile Svilar has 11 clean sheets for Roma this season
Josep Martínez secured 10 clean sheets for Inter
Both keepers have provided consistent stability for their defenses
影响因素
Strong home advantage for Roma backed by low home goals conceded
Stadio Olimpico venue average stands at 2.8 goals per match
Match played on natural grass surface