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Serie A

Udinese - Cagliari

09/19/2026, 01:00 PM

0 : 1
预期进球
Udinese
1.1
Total xG
2.1
Cagliari
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

14%

1:0

12%

0:1

10%

2:0

8%
xG 分解
UDICAG

Udinese

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.74倍)
-0.45
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.21
状态上升 (2 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
+0.21
防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.14
Oumar Solet未进大名单 (3球, 1助攻)
Jakub Piotrowski未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)

Cagliari

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.76倍)
-0.75
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.05
12%进球产出缺失 (仅87%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3球)
+0.53
+0.53
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

38%

平局

33%

客胜

29%

进球数

Over 1.5

64%

Under 1.5

36%

Over 2.5

35%

Under 2.5

65%

Over 3.5

16%

Under 3.5

84%

双重机会

主胜或平局

71%

客胜或平局

62%

非平局

67%

双方进球

44%

56%

关键因素
  • Udinese currently scores more frequently (Avg 2.0) than their season average of 1.3
  • Udinese dominated historical matchups with 3 wins in the last 4 encounters
  • The mathematical model calculates a 38% home win probability compared to 29% for the visitors
风险因素
  • Cagliari's goal scoring has stalled recently (Avg 1.0) compared to their season average of 1.2
  • Cagliari concedes an average of 1.76 goals per away match
  • Udinese must play without Oumar Solet and Jakub Piotrowski who were not nominated
概述

Udinese (13th place, 4 points) hosts Cagliari (5th place, 9 points) at the Dacia Arena

Serie A match on September 19, 2026, 3:00 PM

Cagliari travels as fifth in the standings, while Udinese looks to avoid a poor start

近期状态

Udinese shows form DWWLL (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses)

The home team recently suffered two consecutive defeats

Cagliari enters with form WLLWW (3 wins, 2 losses) and consecutive victories

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Udinese scored 45 goals this season (Avg 1.18) and conceded 48 (Avg 1.26)

Cagliari scored 40 goals (Avg 1.05) and conceded 53 (Avg 1.39)

Cagliari struggles away from home, conceding an average of 1.76 goals per game

历史交锋

4 head-to-head matches in the database

Udinese dominated with 3 wins and 1 draw

Goal difference of 7:2 in favor of the home team

The last meeting ended in a 2:0 win for Udinese on May 9, 2026

关键球员

Keinan Davis (10 goals, 4 assists, 7.04 rating)

Jurgen Ekkelenkamp (5 goals, 3 assists, 7.26 rating recently)

Nicolò Zaniolo (5 goals, 6 assists, 6.95 rating)

Paul Mendy (2 goals, 6.75 rating)

Michel Adopo (2 assists in the last 5 games)

Adam Obert (3 assists, 6.83 rating)

门将

Maduka Okoye features for Udinese with 11 clean sheets this season

Elia Caprile guards Cagliari's goal with 8 clean sheets recorded so far

影响因素

Dacia Arena features a grass pitch

Udinese averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded at home

The last 5 home games at this venue averaged 2.0 total goals

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