Serie A
AC Milan - Lecce
09/20/2026, 06:45 PM
预期进球
2.0
2.7
0.8
2:0
13%1:1
11%2:1
10%3:0
8%3:1
6%xG 分解
AC Milan
Lecce
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
65%
平局
23%
客胜
12%
进球数
Over 1.5
77%
Under 1.5
23%
Over 2.5
51%
Under 2.5
49%
Over 3.5
29%
Under 3.5
71%
双重机会
主胜或平局
88%
客胜或平局
35%
非平局
77%
双方进球
是
47%
否
53%
关键因素
- Mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 65% and expects 1.97 home goals
- Historical dominance with 5 wins for AC Milan from the last 5 head-to-head encounters against Lecce
- AC Milan controlled games with an average possession of 59% in recent matches
风险因素
- Setback in form following AC Milan's recent 0-2 defeat against Benfica
- Lecce shows a slightly positive form trend, scoring more recently (1.0) than their season average (0.9)
- Limited data on duel statistics (totalDuels) in the provided dataset
概述
AC Milan (7th place, 8 points) host Lecce (12th place, 6 points) at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Serie A match on September 20, 2026, 8:45 PM
The home team enters this clash as clear favorites
近期状态
AC Milan holds a form of WWDDL
Their last match ended in a 0-2 defeat against Benfica
Lecce shows a form of LWLLW after a recent 3-2 victory over Monza
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
AC Milan scores an average of 1.39 goals per home game
The Rossoneri defense concedes an average of 1.17 goals at home
Lecce records an average of 0.75 goals per away match
The visitors concede an average of 1.3 goals per away game
历史交锋
Five head-to-head matches have taken place in recent years
AC Milan has won all 5 encounters
The last direct meeting ended 1-0 in favor of the home team
The goal difference stands at 12-2 for the Rossoneri
关键球员
Christian Pulisic has scored 8 goals and provided 4 assists this season
Adrien Rabiot has 6 season goals and 4 assists
Luka Modrić has contributed 2 goals and 3 assists so far
Lassana Coulibaly has scored 3 season goals for Lecce
Danilo Veiga recently assisted 2 goals
Santiago Pierotti has 1 season goal and 2 assists
门将
Mike Maignan played 37 matches this season and recorded 15 clean sheets
Wladimiro Falcone completed 38 matches and achieved 10 clean sheets
影响因素
The match will be played on natural grass at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
The stadium averages 4.4 goals per game
Home advantage based on 25 home goals scored and 21 conceded by the Rossoneri