Serie A
Juventus - Atalanta
09/20/2026, 04:00 PM
预期进球
1.9
2.7
0.8
2:0
12%1:1
12%2:1
10%3:0
8%3:1
6%xG 分解
Juventus
Atalanta
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
61%
平局
25%
客胜
14%
进球数
Over 1.5
76%
Under 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%
Under 3.5
72%
双重机会
主胜或平局
86%
客胜或平局
39%
非平局
75%
双方进球
是
48%
否
52%
关键因素
- Form advantage: Juventus is currently scoring more frequently with 2.2 goals compared to their season average of 1.8
- Tactical edge: Juventus averaged 6.2 shots on target in recent matches
- Model prediction: The mathematical analysis calculates a home win probability of 61%
风险因素
- Fatigue factor: Juventus has a short recovery period with only 3 days of rest since their last match
- Opponent's offensive slump: Atalanta's goal production has stalled at 1.2 compared to their season average of 1.5
- Limited data availability for weather conditions
概述
Juventus (8th place, 7 points) host Atalanta (11th place, 6 points) at the Juventus Stadium
Serie A match on September 20, 2026, 6:00 PM
A mid-table clash with a narrow gap between the teams
近期状态
Juventus with form WWDLW, coming off a 5-0 win against NEC Nijmegen
Atalanta travels with two consecutive losses and form WWWLL
Juventus shows an upward trend while Atalanta is struggling
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
Juventus scores an average of 1.61 goals and concedes 0.89 goals per game this season
Atalanta averages 1.34 goals scored and 0.95 goals conceded
At home, Juventus concedes only 0.73 goals on average
Atalanta averages 1.37 goals scored and 1.11 conceded away from home
历史交锋
In the last 5 meetings, there were 2 draws, 2 wins for Atalanta, and 1 win for Juventus
Goal ratio of 3:9 in favor of Atalanta
The last head-to-head match ended in a 1-0 win for the home team
关键球员
Nico González with rising form and 2 goals from his last 4 matches
Bremer stabilized the defense and has already scored 4 goals this season
Weston McKennie has registered 5 goals and 5 assists with a declining form trend
Nikola Krstović leads with 10 goals and 5 assists this season despite a declining trend
Charles De Ketelaere contributed 3 goals and 5 assists this season
Lazar Samardžić scored 1 goal in the recent period with stable form
门将
Guglielmo Vicario guards the goal for Juventus, which has recorded 16 clean sheets this season
Marco Carnesecchi shows rising form for Atalanta with a rating of 7.54 over the last 5 matches
Atalanta stands at a total of 13 clean sheets this season
影响因素
The match takes place on natural grass at the Juventus Stadium
Stadium history shows an average of 2.6 goals per game with a BTTS rate of 40%
Juventus enjoys a strong home advantage, conceding only 0.73 goals per home game
The home team had a significantly shorter recovery time with 3 days since their last match compared to 8 days for the visitors