Serie A
Fiorentina - Napoli
09/20/2026, 10:30 AM
预期进球
1.2
2.3
1.2
1:1
15%0:0
11%0:1
10%1:0
10%1:2
8%xG 分解
Fiorentina
Napoli
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
34%
平局
32%
客胜
34%
进球数
Over 1.5
69%
Under 1.5
31%
Over 2.5
41%
Under 2.5
59%
Over 3.5
21%
Under 3.5
79%
双重机会
主胜或平局
66%
客胜或平局
66%
非平局
68%
双方进球
是
49%
否
51%
关键因素
- Severe squad issues for Napoli with 6 sidelined injuries and missing Spinazzola, Anguissa, and Alisson Santos in the lineup
- Fiorentina's offensive drive with an average of 6.2 shots on target in recent matches compared to Napoli's 3.8
- Napoli's historical dominance with 4 wins in the last 4 direct duels and a 10-3 goal difference
风险因素
- Napoli's goal production is currently stalling at 1.2 goals per game compared to their season average of 1.5
- Defensive miss for Fiorentina as F. Parisi is out with a cruciate ligament injury and Marco Brescianini is not nominated
- Even model prediction with a 34% win probability calculated for both sides
概述
Fiorentina (16th place, 3 points) host Napoli (10th place, 6 points) at the Stadio Artemio Franchi
Serie A match on September 20, 2026, 12:30 PM
Fiorentina aim to escape the lower region of the table
Napoli look to connect with the upper positions
近期状态
Fiorentina show a form of LLLWW
They recently secured two consecutive wins
Napoli have a form of WLLLW
Both teams won their respective last match
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Fiorentina average 1.08 goals scored and 1.32 goals conceded per game
At home, they average 1.11 goals scored and conceded
Napoli average 1.53 goals scored and 0.95 goals conceded
Away from home, Napoli concede 1.12 goals on average
Advanced stats show Fiorentina scoring consistently with around 1.5 goals per game
Napoli's goal production is stalling with 1.2 goals compared to their season average of 1.5
历史交锋
Napoli clearly dominated recent encounters
4 wins for Napoli in the last 4 direct duels
Fiorentina failed to win any of these matches
The last meeting ended 1-2 for Napoli on January 31, 2026
Goal difference of 10-3 in favor of Napoli
关键球员
For Fiorentina, Manor Solomon is in strong form with 2 goals and 2 assists in the last 5 games
Albert Gudmundsson scored 1 goal in the last 4 matches
Rolando Mandragora contributed 1 goal and 1 assist in his last 5 games
For Napoli, Kevin De Bruyne stands out with 1 goal and 1 assist in the last 5 matches
Rasmus Højlund scored 2 goals in his last 5 games
Matteo Politano scored 1 goal in his last 5 appearances
门将
David de Gea plays in goal for Fiorentina with a season average rating of 6.87
In his last 5 games, his average rating dropped to 6.48
Vanja Milinković-Savić guards Napoli's goal with a season average of 6.83 and 6.58 in recent matches
Fiorentina secured 10 clean sheets so far, while Napoli achieved 15
影响因素
Played on grass at the Stadio Artemio Franchi
Historical matches at this venue average 3.2 goals
Both teams scored in 60% of matches played here
Fiorentina benefit from 5 days of rest, while Napoli had 7 days off