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Serie A

Monza - Sassuolo

09/18/2026, 06:45 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Monza
1.1
Total xG
1.9
Sassuolo
0.8
最可能的比分

0:0

17%

1:1

15%

1:0

15%

0:1

10%

2:0

9%
xG 分解
MONSAS

Monza

防守实力 (场均失1.7球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
+0.23
小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
-0.19
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.01
全员可用

Sassuolo

最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.14
状态上升 (1.8 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
+0.14
Cristian Volpato未进大名单 (2球, 4助攻)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3球)
+0.53
+0.53
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

41%

平局

35%

客胜

24%

进球数

Over 1.5

59%

Under 1.5

41%

Over 2.5

30%

Under 2.5

70%

Over 3.5

13%

Under 3.5

87%

双重机会

主胜或平局

76%

客胜或平局

59%

非平局

65%

双方进球

是

39%

否

61%

关键因素
  • Matchup advantage: Sassuolo's positive form trend meets Monza's weak defense with an average of 2.75 goals conceded per game
  • Squad impact: Monza currently have 0% of their active goal share available
  • Tactical approach: Monza averaged 6.4 shots on target in recent matches with balanced possession
风险因素
  • Defensive vulnerability: Monza concede an average of 2.75 goals per game this season
  • Injury crisis: Both teams are missing multiple key players due to injuries
  • Limited data on head-to-head history
概述

Monza (18th place, 1 point) host Sassuolo (9th place, 7 points) at the U-Power Stadium

Serie A match on September 18, 2026, 8:45 PM

Monza are looking for their first win of the season while Sassuolo aim to secure their mid-table position

The mathematical model predicts a home win probability of 41%

近期状态

Monza show weakness with a form of LLWDL and one win in their last five matches

Sassuolo travel with a form of LWDDW, having won two of their last five games

The visitors have shown a positive trend recently

Monza lost their last match 2-3 against Lecce

统计数据

Monza scored 6 goals (avg 1.5) and conceded 11 goals (avg 2.75) this season

Sassuolo scored 46 goals and conceded 50 goals in 38 games last season

Monza conceded 3 goals in their only home game so far

Sassuolo average 1.24 goals scored and 1.41 goals conceded away from home

关键球员

For Monza, Gustavo Miguel Pereira de Sousa Varela stands out with 3 goals in 3 matches at the venue

Ebenezer Akinsanmiro registered 1 assist at the U-Power Stadium

For Sassuolo, Domenico Berardi has 8 goals and 4 assists this season

Armand Laurienté contributed 7 goals and 9 assists

Kristian Thorstvedt has 4 goals and 4 assists

Cristian Volpato is not in the squad for Sassuolo

门将

Noel Törnqvist starts in goal for Monza

Arijanet Murić is in goal for Sassuolo, with a season average rating of 7.17

Sassuolo achieved 8 clean sheets last season

影响因素

The U-Power Stadium averages 3.0 goals per game

The BTTS rate at the venue is 33%

Monza's home defense is vulnerable with 3 goals conceded in their only home fixture

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