🇮🇹

Serie A

Bologna - Torino

09/19/2026, 01:00 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
Bologna
1.3
Total xG
2.2
Torino
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:0

13%

0:0

13%

2:0

10%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
BOLTOR

Bologna

防守实力 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.20
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.11
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
-0.11
Jens Odgaard未进大名单 (5球, 1助攻)
Emil Holm替补席 (1球, 4助攻)
31%进球产出缺失 (仅80%可用)

Torino

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.59倍)
-0.91
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.14
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
-0.14
C. Adams未进大名单 (6球, 2助攻)
13%进球产出缺失 (仅81%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3球)
+0.53
+0.53
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

46%

平局

31%

客胜

23%

进球数

Over 1.5

66%

Under 1.5

34%

Over 2.5

38%

Under 2.5

62%

Over 3.5

18%

Under 3.5

82%

双重机会

主胜或平局

77%

客胜或平局

54%

非平局

69%

双方进球

45%

55%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis favors Bologna with a 46% win probability
  • Torino is highly vulnerable away from home, conceding 2.27 goals per game on average
  • Bologna dominated recent head-to-head history with 3 wins in 4 matches
风险因素
  • Bologna averaged only 3.6 shots on target per match in recent games
  • Torino's attack averaged only 2.4 shots on target per match recently
  • Limited data availability on the performance metrics of goalkeeper Lucas Perri
概述

Bologna (17th place, 1 point) host Torino (15th place, 3 points)

Serie A match on September 19, 2026, 3:00 PM

Basement battle at the Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

近期状态

Bologna is in poor form with DLLDL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

The hosts recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses

Torino travels with a form of LLLWL

The visitors recorded 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses

统计数据

Bologna averages 1.29 goals scored and 1.21 goals conceded

Torino averages 1.16 goals scored and 1.66 goals conceded per match

In away matches, the visitors conceded 34 goals in 15 games (averaging 2.27 goals)

历史交锋

In the last 4 duels, Bologna won 3 times, with no wins for Torino and 1 draw

The goal ratio is 7:3 in favor of Bologna

The last meeting ended in a 2-1 away victory for Bologna

关键球员

For Bologna, Federico Bernardeschi with 4 goals and Lewis Ferguson stand out

Nicolò Cambiaghi contributed 3 goals and 4 assists

Not nominated: Jens Odgaard (5 goals, 1 assist) and Emil Holm (1 goal, 4 assists)

Torino relies on Giovanni Simeone with 11 goals and Nikola Vlašić

Saúl Coco stabilizes the defense

Not nominated: C. Adams

门将

Lukasz Skorupski starts in goal for Bologna with a rating of 6.72

Lucas Perri guards the visitors' goal

Both teams kept 12 clean sheets so far this season

影响因素

Home advantage at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara is backed by 7 home clean sheets

Matches at this stadium average 2.6 goals

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。