Friendly International
Australia - Brazil
09/25/2026, 10:00 AM
预期进球
0.9
3.1
2.3
0:2
11%1:2
10%1:1
10%0:3
9%1:3
7%xG 分解
Australia
Brazil
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
12%
平局
20%
客胜
68%
进球数
Over 1.5
83%
Under 1.5
17%
Over 2.5
60%
Under 2.5
40%
Over 3.5
38%
Under 3.5
62%
双重机会
主胜或平局
32%
客胜或平局
88%
非平局
80%
双方进球
是
53%
否
47%
关键因素
- Mathematical advantage: The model predicts a 68% win probability for Brazil with 2.27 expected goals
- Tactical dominance: Brazil averaged 6.0 shots on target in recent matches with 53% possession
- Form trend: Brazil currently scores more frequently (2.0) than their season average, while Australia's goal production has stalled (1.0)
风险因素
- Australia's lack of offensive power: The home team recently averaged only 2.8 shots on target per match
- Brazil's away weakness: The visitors conceded an average of 3.0 goals per away match this season
概述
Australia host Brazil at Stadium Australia
Friendly International on September 25, 2026, 11:00 AM
Clear favorite role for the South American visitors
近期状态
Australia shows the form DWLDD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Most recent result was a 1-1 draw against Egypt
Brazil arrives with the form DWWWL
The Seleção lost their last match 1-2 against Norway
统计数据
Australia averages 2.38 goals scored and 0.44 goals conceded this season
The home record stands at an average of 2.3 goals scored
Brazil averages 1.33 goals scored and 0.94 goals conceded
The visitors conceded an average of 3.0 goals per away match
历史交锋
No head-to-head matches recorded in the provided dataset
关键球员
Nestory Irankunda scores 0.64 goals per 90 minutes this season
Connor Metcalfe shows a rising form trend
Alessandro Circati averages a season rating of 7.01
Vinicius Junior has recorded 1 goal and 2 assists this season
Raphinha excelled recently with 9 goals in his last 5 matches
Danilo delivers stable performances with a form rating of 7.20
Not nominated: Jordan Bos (2 goals / 1 assist)
Not nominated: Casemiro (1 goal / 1 assist), Lucas Paquetá (1 goal / 1 assist)
门将
Patrick Beach kept 5 clean sheets at home this season
Hugo Souza averages a rating of 6.71 over his last 5 games
影响因素
The match is played on natural grass at Stadium Australia
Previous matches at this venue averaged 1.5 goals
Australia has 84 days since their last match
Brazil arrives with 82 days of rest