Friendly International
Australia - Brazil
09/29/2026, 10:00 AM
预期进球
0.8
3.0
2.1
0:2
12%1:1
10%1:2
10%0:3
8%1:3
7%xG 分解
Australia
Brazil
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
12%
平局
22%
客胜
66%
进球数
Over 1.5
81%
Under 1.5
19%
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
Over 3.5
35%
Under 3.5
65%
双重机会
主胜或平局
34%
客胜或平局
88%
非平局
78%
双方进球
是
51%
否
49%
关键因素
- Strong advantage for Brazil with a modeled win probability of 66%
- Raphinha is in outstanding form with 8 goals and 3 assists in his last 5 matches
- Brazil recently dominated possession with an average of 56% and 6.0 shots on target
风险因素
- Brazil concedes an average of 3.0 goals per away match
- Australia's strong home defense with only 0.3 goals conceded on average could slow down the game
- Both teams have only 4 days of rest since their last head-to-head match
概述
Friendly International clash at Stadium Australia
Australia faces Brazil
The mathematical analysis projects a 66% chance of a victory for Brazil
The away team enters the match with an expected goals average of 2.14
近期状态
Australia holds a WLDDD form with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss
Brazil shows a WWWLD form with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss
Their most recent encounter ended in a 1-1 draw four days ago
统计数据
Australia averaged 2.38 goals scored and 0.44 goals conceded across 16 season games
The hosts conceded only 0.3 goals per home game this season
Brazil averaged 1.33 goals scored and 0.94 goals conceded over 18 matches
The visitors conceded an average of 3.0 goals per away game
历史交锋
There has been 1 head-to-head match between the teams
This single match on September 25, 2026, ended in a 1-1 draw
The goal difference remains balanced at 1-1
关键球员
Nestory Irankunda records a season rating of 7.36 with 3 goals
Connor Metcalfe shows a rising form with a 6.93 rating in recent games
Alessandro Circati has 1 goal in 5 appearances with a 6.91 rating
Raphinha stands out with 8 goals and 3 assists in his last 5 matches
Vinicius Junior holds a season rating of 7.12
Rayan contributed 2 goals in 3 appearances with a 7.41 rating
Jordan Bos, Casemiro, and Lucas Paquetá are not nominated
门将
Patrick Beach appeared in 2 matches this season
Otávio Costa has 0 appearances this season but holds a 7.45 rating from recent games
Australia secured 10 clean sheets overall, while Brazil recorded 6
影响因素
The match will be played on grass at Stadium Australia
Venue statistics show an average of 1.67 total goals per match
Both teams scored in only 1 out of 3 matches at this stadium