Liga Portugal
Santa Clara - Nacional
08/10/2026, 07:15 PM
预期进球
1.4
2.2
0.8
1:0
14%1:1
14%0:0
12%2:0
11%2:1
9%xG 分解
Santa Clara
Nacional
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
51%
平局
30%
客胜
19%
进球数
Over 1.5
67%
Under 1.5
33%
Over 2.5
39%
Under 2.5
61%
Over 3.5
19%
Under 3.5
81%
双重机会
主胜或平局
81%
客胜或平局
49%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
43%
否
57%
关键因素
- Major absence: Nacional is missing key players like Jesús Ramírez and Paulinho Bóia, leaving only 37% of their usual starting strength available
- Model prediction: The mathematically calculated home advantage is reflected in a 51% home win probability and 1.44 expected goals
- Tactical presence: Nacional averaged 4.4 shots on target in recent matches
风险因素
- Squad depletion: Missing Serginho, Gabriel Silva, and Gustavo Klismahn, Santa Clara has only 60% of their usual starting strength available
- Lack of offensive threat: Santa Clara averaged only 2.2 shots on target in recent matches
- Away vulnerability: Nacional conceded an average of 1.69 goals per away game this season
概述
Santa Clara host Nacional at the Estádio de São Miguel
Liga Portugal match on August 10, 2026, 7:15 PM
Both teams start the new season with zero points
The home team enters as favorites with a predicted 51% win probability
近期状态
Santa Clara's form: DWDWL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
They recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss recently
Nacional's form is WWLLW
The visitors secured 3 wins and suffered 2 losses recently
Santa Clara shows a positive trend, averaging 1.5 goals in recent games
统计数据
Santa Clara scored an average of 0.94 goals per game and conceded 1.21
At home, they averaged 0.94 goals scored and 0.94 goals conceded
Nacional scored an average of 1.09 goals and conceded 1.32 per game
Away from home, Nacional conceded an average of 1.69 goals per game
Both teams scored in 14 of Santa Clara's 34 matches this season
历史交锋
There have been 4 head-to-head matches in total
Santa Clara won 2 games, Nacional won 1, with 1 draw
The goal difference is 6:5 in favor of Santa Clara
The last encounter on May 11, 2026, ended in a 2-0 home victory for Santa Clara
关键球员
Vinícius Lopes has 6 goals and 1 assist with a 6.81 rating
Gonçalo Paciência scored 3 goals in 12 season appearances
Sidney Lima holds an average rating of 6.85
Ze Vitor contributed 4 goals and 1 assist with a rating of 7.0
Liziero recorded 4 assists and an average rating of 7.04
Léo Santos scored 3 goals and provided 2 assists
门将
Lucas França is in goal for Santa Clara, who secured 10 clean sheets this season
Renato Marin starts in goal for Nacional, who recorded 8 clean sheets this season
影响因素
The match will be played on grass at the Estádio de São Miguel
Venue statistics show an average of 2.0 goals per game with a 20% BTTS rate
Santa Clara secured 7 clean sheets at home with a balanced home goal record of 17:17
Weather data is not included in the provided dataset