Liga Portugal
Porto - Alverca
08/09/2026, 05:00 PM
预期进球
1.9
2.6
0.7
2:0
14%1:1
11%2:1
9%3:0
9%3:1
6%xG 分解
Porto
Alverca
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
66%
平局
23%
客胜
11%
进球数
Over 1.5
74%
Under 1.5
26%
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
26%
Under 3.5
74%
双重机会
主胜或平局
89%
客胜或平局
34%
非平局
77%
双方进球
是
42%
否
58%
关键因素
- Extremely stable defense: Porto's defense concedes an average of only 0.53 goals per game this season
- Tactical dominance: Porto averaged 58% possession and 5.0 shots on target in recent matches
- Weakened visitors: Alverca plays without Lincoln Henrique Oliveira dos Santos, leaving only 79% of their usual goal threat available
风险因素
- Low offensive threat: Alverca averaged only 2.8 shots on target per game in recent matches
- Away weakness: Alverca concede an average of 1.71 goals in away games
- Limited data availability for weather conditions
概述
Porto host Alverca at the Estádio Do Dragão
Liga Portugal match on August 9, 2026, 6:00 PM
Porto are clear favorites with a 66% win probability calculated by the model
Both teams start this league phase with zero points
近期状态
Porto show strong form with the string WWWLW
The home team recorded 4 wins and 1 loss recently
Alverca are struggling with the form LWLDL
The visitors recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses recently
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Porto score an average of 1.94 goals and concede only 0.53 goals per game
In 17 home games they achieved 12 clean sheets and conceded just 6 goals (0.35 avg)
Alverca score an average of 1.00 goal and concede 1.71 goals away from home
The visitors managed only 6 clean sheets in 34 season matches
历史交锋
There have been 2 head-to-head matches between the teams so far
Porto won both encounters, scoring a total of 4 goals
Alverca are yet to score a goal against Porto
The last match ended in a 1-0 win for Porto on May 2, 2026
关键球员
William Gomes scored 8 goals in 28 appearances this season
Victor Froholdt recorded 6 goals and 7 assists with an average rating of 6.99
Figueiredo is Alverca's biggest threat with 6 goals scored this season
门将
Diogo Costa plays in goal for Porto and shows a rising form trend
Matheus Mendes Werneck de Oliveira is Alverca's goalkeeper with a declining form trend
Porto recorded 21 clean sheets this season
Alverca managed only 6 clean sheets
影响因素
Porto are extremely strong at the Estádio Do Dragão with 12 home wins in 17 games
In the 5 games played at this stadium there was an average of 2.0 goals per game
The stadium pitch surface is grass