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Liga Portugal

Estoril - Famalicão

08/07/2026, 07:15 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
Estoril
0.9
Total xG
2.2
Famalicão
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:1

13%

0:0

13%

0:2

10%

1:2

8%
xG 分解
ESTFAM

Estoril

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.69倍)
-0.87
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.31
状态下滑 (0.6 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
-0.31
防守不足 (场均失1.7球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
+0.23
Felix Bacher未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)
Pedro Amaral未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)

Famalicão

防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.22
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.78倍)
+0.18
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.06
Gustavo Sá未进大名单 (4球, 2助攻)
Justin de Haas未进大名单 (5球, 0助攻)
Rafa Soares未进大名单 (1球, 3助攻)
Simon Elisor未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)
Léo Realpe未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
40%进球产出缺失 (仅62%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1球 vs 总体1.4球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

23%

平局

32%

客胜

45%

进球数

Over 1.5

66%

Under 1.5

34%

Over 2.5

37%

Under 2.5

63%

Over 3.5

18%

Under 3.5

82%

双重机会

主胜或平局

55%

客胜或平局

77%

非平局

68%

双方进球

44%

56%

关键因素
  • Famalicão is unbeaten in their last 5 games showing stable form, while Estoril's goal production has stalled lately (0.6)
  • The historical dominance of the visitors is evident with 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-head matches and a 9:2 goal difference
  • Famalicão boasts an outstanding defense with 17 clean sheets recorded this season
风险因素
  • Famalicão is missing Gustavo Sá, Justin de Haas, Rafa Soares, Simon Elisor, and Léo Realpe, leaving only 62% of their goal threat active
  • Estoril averaged only 3.2 shots on target per game in recent matches
  • Famalicão concedes significantly more goals away from home (avg 1.42) compared to their home average (0.55)
概述

Estoril host Famalicão

Liga Portugal match on August 7, 2026, 8:15 PM

The match takes place at Estádio António Coimbra da Mota

Mathematical analysis favors the away side with a 45% win probability

近期状态

Estoril's recent form is LLDDL

The home side recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses

Famalicão's form curve is DWDDW

The visitors remained unbeaten with 2 wins and 3 draws

Form code: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Estoril score an average of 1.59 goals per game and concede 1.68 goals this season

In home games, Estoril average 1.61 goals scored and 1.44 goals conceded

Famalicão score an average of 1.24 goals per game and concede only 0.85 goals defensively

Away from home, Famalicão concede an average of 1.42 goals per match

历史交锋

In 4 head-to-head matches, Estoril won 1 while Famalicão won 3

The goal difference stands at 2:9 against Estoril

The last meeting on April 26, 2026, ended in a 0-1 away win for Famalicão

关键球员

Yanis Begraoui has scored 20 goals this season with an average rating of 7.04

João Carvalho contributed 6 goals and 12 assists this season

Jordan Holsgrove has registered 1 goal and 7 assists

Gil Dias scored 4 goals and provided 7 assists this season

Sorriso has 5 goals and 4 assists with an average rating of 7.05

Mathias de Amorim has recorded 4 goals and 2 assists

门将

Martin Turk is in goal for Estoril and has played 3 matches this season

The goalkeeper holds an average season rating of 6.86

Lazar Carević protects Famalicão's goal and completed all 34 matches this season

Famalicão achieved a total of 17 clean sheets this season

影响因素

The match takes place at Estádio António Coimbra da Mota on grass

At this stadium, the average total goals stand at 2.4 per game

Estoril average 1.61 goals scored on their home turf

Both teams scored in 60% of the recent matches played at this venue

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