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Liga Portugal

Estrela Amadora - Sporting CP

08/08/2026, 07:30 PM

2 : 2
预期进球
Estrela Amadora
1.0
Total xG
3.4
Sporting CP
2.5
最可能的比分

0:2

10%

1:2

10%

1:1

9%

0:3

8%

1:3

8%
xG 分解
EASC

Estrela Amadora

防守不足 (场均失1.9球 vs 联赛平均1球)
+0.93
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.22倍)
+0.16
排名劣势 (第15位 vs 第2位, 相差13位)
-0.15
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.09
Paulo Moreira未进大名单 (3球, 2助攻)
Rodrigo Pinho未进大名单 (4球, 1助攻)
Stefan Leković未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)
50%进球产出缺失 (仅54%可用)

Sporting CP

进攻实力 (联赛平均的3.21倍)
+2.50
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均3球)
+0.16
状态上升 (3 vs 2.5 赛季平均)
+0.16
排名优势 (第2位 vs 第15位, 相差13位)
+0.15
Luis Suárez替补席 (28球, 6助攻)
Pedro Gonçalves未进大名单 (13球, 8助攻)
Francisco Trincão未进大名单 (7球, 11助攻)
Maxi Araújo未进大名单 (5球, 4助攻)
Daniel Bragança未进大名单 (6球, 0助攻)
Hidemasa Morita未进大名单 (1球, 4助攻)
Zeno Debast未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
77%进球产出缺失 (仅25%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.7球 vs 总体2.5球)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均1.5球)
-1.00
-1.00
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

12%

平局

19%

客胜

69%

进球数

Over 1.5

87%

Under 1.5

13%

Over 2.5

67%

Under 2.5

33%

Over 3.5

45%

Under 3.5

55%

双重机会

主胜或平局

31%

客胜或平局

88%

非平局

81%

双方进球

58%

42%

关键因素
  • Tactical dominance: Sporting CP averaged 6.6 shots on target and 63.4% possession recently, compared to Estrela Amadora's average of only 2.8 shots on target
  • Flawless historical record: Sporting CP won all 4 previous meetings between the two teams
  • Expected goals according to the model: Predictions value Sporting CP at 2.47 expected goals, indicating a highly dominant role
风险因素
  • Severely weakened away offense: Only 25% of the regular starting goal threat is active due to the absence of Luis Suárez and Pedro Gonçalves
  • Weakened home squad: Due to missing players, Estrela Amadora only has 54% of its normal goal threat available
  • Limited data availability for home goalkeeper statistics
概述

Estrela Amadora (15th place, 0 points) host Sporting CP (16th place, 0 points) at the Estádio José Gomes

Liga Portugal fixture on August 8, 2026, 8:30 PM

The away side enters this early-season match as the clear favorite

近期状态

Sporting CP is in strong shape with 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 matches (DDWWW)

Estrela Amadora is winless in 5 matches, recording 3 losses and 2 draws (LLLDD)

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Sporting CP boasts a strong attack, averaging 2.62 goals scored per game

Estrela Amadora concedes an average of 1.65 goals per match

On the road, Sporting CP scores 2.53 goals and concedes just 0.87 goals on average

历史交锋

Sporting CP won all 4 previous head-to-head matches

The historical goal difference stands at 13-1 in favor of Sporting CP

Their last meeting on April 11, 2026, ended in a 1-0 away victory for Sporting CP

关键球员

Abraham Marcus scored 5 goals and provided 5 assists in 31 appearances

Ianis Stoica contributed 3 goals and 2 assists

Geny Catamo scored 6 goals with an average rating of 7.05

Eduardo Quaresma stands out with 2 goals, 2 assists, and a 7.16 rating

Fotis Ioannidis scored 3 goals with a rating of 6.83

门将

Rui Silva played 32 games for Sporting CP with an average rating of 6.94

影响因素

Estrela Amadora scores an average of 1.11 goals at home

Matches at the Estádio José Gomes average 2.4 goals per game

The match is played on a natural grass surface

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