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Liga Portugal

Moreirense - Sporting Braga

08/09/2026, 07:30 PM

2 : 2
预期进球
Moreirense
1.1
Total xG
2.5
Sporting Braga
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

0:0

10%

0:1

10%

1:2

9%

0:2

8%
xG 分解
MORSB

Moreirense

防守不足 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均1球)
+0.53
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.05
Alan de Souza Guimarães未进大名单 (5球, 5助攻)
Travassos未进大名单 (5球, 3助攻)
Francisco Miguel Ribeiro Tomé Tavares Bondoso替补席 (0球, 4助攻)
Jóbson de Brito Gonzaga未进大名单 (4球, 0助攻)
Afonso Assis Cunha Almeida替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
75%进球产出缺失 (仅36%可用)

Sporting Braga

最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
防守不足 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1球)
-0.04
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.01
Pau Víctor替补席 (10球, 4助攻)
Víctor Gómez替补席 (1球, 4助攻)
Gabri Martínez替补席 (1球, 3助攻)
Vítor Carvalho替补席 (2球, 1助攻)
João Moutinho替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
15%进球产出缺失 (仅68%可用)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均2球)
-0.50
-0.50
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

29%

平局

30%

客胜

41%

进球数

Over 1.5

72%

Under 1.5

28%

Over 2.5

45%

Under 2.5

55%

Over 3.5

23%

Under 3.5

77%

双重机会

主胜或平局

59%

客胜或平局

71%

非平局

70%

双方进球

51%

49%

关键因素
  • Critical squad impact for Moreirense: Only 37% of usual goal threat is available as key players like Alan de Souza Guimarães and Travassos are missing
  • Sporting Braga recently averaged 4.2 shots on target with 60.2% ball possession
  • Historical dominance: Sporting Braga won all 4 recent head-to-head matches against Moreirense with an 8:3 goal difference
风险因素
  • Squad weakening for Braga: Pau Víctor is missing, leaving only 69% of the usual goal threat available
  • Fatigue factor for Sporting Braga: Only 3 days of rest since the last game on August 6
  • Low-scoring stadium history: An average of only 1.6 goals per game were scored recently in this stadium
概述

Moreirense host Sporting Braga at the Estádio Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas

First match of the season for both teams in Liga Portugal on August 9, 2026, 8:30 PM

The visitors from Braga arrive as favorites

近期状态

Moreirense has a record of 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 games (Form-String: WLWLD)

Sporting Braga is unbeaten with 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 matches (Form-String: DDWWW)

The visitors show stable early-season form

统计数据

Moreirense scored an average of 1.09 goals and conceded 1.44 goals per game last season

Sporting Braga impressed with an average of 1.88 goals scored and only 1.06 conceded

In home matches, Moreirense conceded an average of 1.17 goals

历史交锋

Sporting Braga dominates the head-to-head history with 4 wins in 4 games

The goal difference stands at 8:3 in favor of Braga

The last direct meeting ended in a 1:0 victory for Braga on April 4, 2026

关键球员

Rodrigo Alonso Martín scored 3 goals and provided 3 assists in 26 appearances, with a rating of 6.71

Nile John provided 1 assist in 14 games with an average rating of 6.62

Kevyn Monteiro played 10 matches and achieved a rating of 6.92

Ricardo Horta scored 14 goals and provided 4 assists in 28 games, with an outstanding rating of 7.58

Fran Navarro scored 6 goals in 29 matches with a rating of 6.58

Gustaf Lagerbielke played 28 times, scoring 2 goals and achieving a rating of 6.92

影响因素

An average of 1.6 goals were scored in the last 5 matches at the Estádio Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas

Both teams scored in only 20% of the games

Moreirense plays on their usual natural grass surface

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