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Liga Portugal

Vitória Guimarães - Arouca

08/08/2026, 05:00 PM

0 : 1
预期进球
Vitória Guimarães
1.3
Total xG
2.7
Arouca
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:2

8%

2:1

8%

0:2

6%

2:0

6%
xG 分解
VGARO

Vitória Guimarães

防守不足 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1球)
+0.59
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.32倍)
+0.47
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.13
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
-0.13
Noah Jose Saviolo未进大名单 (2球, 4助攻)
Diogo Sousa未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)

Arouca

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.89倍)
+1.22
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.17
状态上升 (2 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
+0.17
Pablo Gozálbez替补席 (1球, 2助攻)
Bas Kuipers未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.8球 vs 总体1.4球)

联赛

低进球联赛 (场均1.5球)
-1.00
-1.00
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

35%

平局

29%

客胜

36%

进球数

Over 1.5

77%

Under 1.5

23%

Over 2.5

51%

Under 2.5

49%

Over 3.5

29%

Under 3.5

71%

双重机会

主胜或平局

64%

客胜或平局

65%

非平局

71%

双方进球

56%

44%

关键因素
  • Form trend: Arouca enter in strong form with two consecutive wins while Vitória Guimarães suffered three straight defeats
  • Tactical comparison: Arouca averaged 4.2 shots on target in recent matches compared to 3.4 for the hosts
  • Matchup advantage: Arouca are currently scoring more frequently with 2.0 goals on average than their season average of 1.4 goals
风险因素
  • Away weakness: Arouca conceded an average of 2.43 goals per away game last season
  • Offensive struggles: Vitória Guimarães' goal production has stalled recently averaging 0.8 goals compared to their season average of 1.2 goals
  • Low threat: The hosts averaged only 3.4 shots on target per match in recent games
概述

Vitória Guimarães host Arouca at the Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques

Season opener in the Liga Portugal on August 8, 2026, 6:00 PM

Balanced starting position at the beginning of the new season

Both teams start this season from scratch with zero points

近期状态

Vitória Guimarães with a declining trend and three consecutive losses

Form across all competitions: WWLLL

Most recently they suffered a 0-2 away defeat against Nacional

Arouca show strong form with three wins in their last five matches

Form across all competitions: WLDWW

The visitors won their last match 3-1 at home against Tondela

统计数据

Vitória Guimarães scored an average of 1.15 goals and conceded 1.5 goals per match last season

At home their defense was more stable conceding only 0.83 goals on average

Arouca were more offensive scoring 1.38 goals but also conceding 1.88 goals per match

Away from home the visitors conceded an average of 2.43 goals per match

历史交锋

Balanced record from the last four head-to-head matches

Each team managed to win once with two draws

The last encounter ended in a 3-2 home victory for Arouca

In total 6 goals were scored by each team across these four matches

关键球员

Samu is a key pillar in the hosts' midfield with 7 goals and 3 assists

Gustavo Silva contributed 5 goals and 2 assists last season

For Arouca Alfonso Trezza stands out with 9 goals and 3 assists this season

门将

Oliwier Zych is in the starting lineup for the hosts

Ignacio de Arruabarrena guards Arouca's goal and played 16 season matches

Vitória Guimarães kept 10 clean sheets in the previous season

Arouca recorded 7 clean sheets during the same period

影响因素

Home advantage favors Vitória Guimarães with only 19 goals conceded in 23 home matches

An average of 2.6 goals were scored in recent matches at the Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques

The model prediction suggests a tight match with slight advantages for the visitors

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