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Liga Portugal

Academico Viseu - Santa Clara

08/15/2026, 05:00 PM

0 : 1
预期进球
Academico Viseu
1.6
Total xG
2.5
Santa Clara
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:0

10%

2:1

9%

1:2

6%

3:0

5%
xG 分解
AVSC

Academico Viseu

小样本 (0场) - 均值回归
+0.34

Santa Clara

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.72倍)
-0.33
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
+0.14
状态上升 (1.6 vs 1.1 赛季平均)
+0.14
防守实力 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.11
Serginho未进大名单 (4球, 3助攻)
Gabriel Silva未进大名单 (6球, 0助攻)
Gustavo Klismahn未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
29%进球产出缺失 (仅62%可用)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

50%

平局

29%

客胜

22%

进球数

Over 1.5

73%

Under 1.5

27%

Over 2.5

46%

Under 2.5

54%

Over 3.5

24%

Under 3.5

76%

双重机会

主胜或平局

78%

客胜或平局

50%

非平局

71%

双方进球

是

50%

否

50%

关键因素
  • Tactical approach: Academico Viseu was recently counter-oriented with 38% possession and averaged 4.0 shots on target
  • Offensive trend: Santa Clara is currently scoring more frequently with 1.6 goals per game compared to their season average of 1.1
  • Home advantage prediction: The mathematical model calculates a 50% win probability for Academico Viseu
风险因素
  • Squad impact for Santa Clara: Only 63% of the usual starting XI strength is available, with Serginho, Gabriel Silva, and Gustavo Klismahn missing
  • Defensive vulnerability: Both teams already conceded 2 goals each in their respective opening matches
概述

Academico Viseu (6th place, 1 point) host Santa Clara (7th place, 1 point) at the Estádio Municipal do Fontelo

Liga Portugal match on August 15, 2026, 6:00 PM

Both teams started the new season with a draw

The mathematical prediction gives the home side a 50% chance of winning

近期状态

Academico Viseu started with a 2-2 draw against Benfica

Home team form string: D (D = Draw)

Santa Clara recently secured a 2-2 draw against Nacional

Away team form across all competitions: WDWLD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

The visitors' form is stable with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5 games

统计数据

Academico Viseu scored 2 goals and conceded 2 in their opening match

Santa Clara averaged 0.94 goals scored and 1.21 conceded per game last season

The visitors conceded an average of 1.5 goals in away matches

The model predicts a 73% probability for over 1.5 goals in this fixture

门将

Ewerton starts in goal for the hosts, having conceded 2 goals in the first match

Santa Clara relies on Lucas França in goal

The visitors kept 10 clean sheets last season, including 3 away from home

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at the Estádio Municipal do Fontelo

The model estimates a home advantage with 1.55 expected goals for Academico Viseu

Santa Clara is predicted to score 0.96 expected goals

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