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Liga Portugal

Sporting CP - Vitória Guimarães

08/14/2026, 07:15 PM

3 : 2
预期进球
Sporting CP
1.7
Total xG
2.6
Vitória Guimarães
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:0

10%

2:1

10%

3:0

6%

3:1

5%
xG 分解
SCVG

Sporting CP

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.38倍)
+0.23
最近5场中5场打进2+球 (场均3.2球)
+0.22
状态上升 (3.2 vs 2.5 赛季平均)
+0.22
排名优势 (第2位 vs 第9位, 相差7位)
+0.06
Luis Suárez替补席 (28球, 6助攻)
Pedro Gonçalves未进大名单 (13球, 8助攻)
Francisco Trincão未进大名单 (7球, 11助攻)
Daniel Bragança未进大名单 (6球, 0助攻)
Hidemasa Morita未进大名单 (1球, 4助攻)
67%进球产出缺失 (仅37%可用)

Vitória Guimarães

防守实力 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
+0.47
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.17
状态下滑 (0.6 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
-0.17
排名劣势 (第9位 vs 第2位, 相差7位)
-0.07
Noah Jose Saviolo未进大名单 (2球, 4助攻)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

54%

平局

27%

客胜

19%

进球数

Over 1.5

75%

Under 1.5

25%

Over 2.5

49%

Under 2.5

51%

Over 3.5

27%

Under 3.5

73%

双重机会

主胜或平局

81%

客胜或平局

46%

非平局

73%

双方进球

51%

49%

关键因素
  • Only 37% of goals share available, without Luis Suárez, Pedro Gonçalves, Francisco Trincão, Daniel Bragança and Hidemasa Morita
  • Tactical dominance: Sporting CP averaged 6.6 shots on target with 60% possession in recent matches
  • Offensive trend: Sporting CP currently score more frequently (3.2 goals per game) than their season average (2.5)
风险因素
  • Away weakness: Vitória Guimarães concede an average of 2.91 goals in away matches
  • Attack in slump: Vitória Guimarães' goal production has stalled at 0.6 per game compared to their season average of 1.2
概述

Sporting CP host Vitória Guimarães at the Estádio José Alvalade

Liga Portugal match on August 14, 2026, 8:15 PM

Early season context with Sporting in 8th place (1 point) and the visitors in 17th place (0 points)

近期状态

Sporting CP show solid form (DWWWD) with a recent 2-2 draw

Vitória Guimarães are struggling with four losses in their last five matches (WLLLL)

Stats: Sporting CP with 3 wins and 2 draws, Vitória Guimarães with 1 win and 4 losses

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Sporting CP are offensively strong, averaging 2.62 goals scored per game

Vitória Guimarães are defensive vulnerable, conceding 1.5 goals per game overall and 2.91 in away matches

Sporting CP have a strong home record with 51 goals scored in 19 home matches

历史交锋

Historical record shows clear dominance for Sporting CP

From 4 head-to-head matches, Sporting CP won 3 and drew 1 (3-1-0)

The last meeting ended in a clear 5-1 home victory for Sporting CP on May 4, 2026

关键球员

Sporting CP rely on Maxi Araújo (5 goals, 4 assists) and Fotis Ioannidis (3 goals)

Geny Catamo is also key with 6 goals and 3 assists this season

Vitória Guimarães depend on Samu (7 goals, 3 assists) and Gustavo Silva (5 goals, 2 assists)

门将

Rui Silva guards the net for Sporting CP, keeping 15 clean sheets this season

Oliwier Zych is in goal for Vitória Guimarães, whose team secured 10 clean sheets overall

影响因素

Home advantage at Estádio José Alvalade on grass

Venue stats show an average of 3.4 total goals per game

The model calculates a 54% home win probability and 1.70 expected home goals

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