Liga Portugal
Alverca - Estrela Amadora
08/15/2026, 02:30 PM
预期进球
1.3
2.3
1.0
1:1
15%0:0
12%1:0
12%2:0
9%2:1
9%xG 分解
Alverca
Estrela Amadora
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
43%
平局
31%
客胜
26%
进球数
Over 1.5
68%
Under 1.5
32%
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5
60%
Over 3.5
20%
Under 3.5
80%
双重机会
主胜或平局
74%
客胜或平局
57%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
47%
否
53%
关键因素
- Alverca will miss key players Lincoln Henrique Oliveira dos Santos (2 goals, 5 assists) and Kaiky Marques Naves from their lineup
- Both teams played highly counter-oriented in recent matches and averaged only 3.0 shots on target per game
- The mathematical model predicts a home result of win or draw for Alverca with a probability of 74%
风险因素
- Estrela Amadora must play without Paulo Moreira (3 goals) and Rodrigo Pinho (4 goals), leaving only 75% of their goal threat available
- Estrela Amadora concede a high average of 2.13 goals per match in away games
- Alverca's goal production is stagnant with a recent average of 0.6 goals compared to their season average of 1.03
概述
Alverca host Estrela Amadora in the Liga Portugal
Match on August 15, 2026, 3:30 PM at Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca
Alverca are in 18th place with 0 points after the first game
Estrela Amadora sit in 11th place with 1 point
Both teams seek stability early in the season
近期状态
Alverca's current form across all competitions is WLDLL
The home side recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in this period
Estrela Amadora have a form of LLDDD
The visitors achieved 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats recently
Form key: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Alverca scored avg 1.03 goals and conceded avg 1.53 goals per match last season
In home matches Alverca averaged 1.06 goals scored and 1.35 goals conceded
Estrela Amadora averaged 1.12 goals scored and 1.65 goals conceded overall
In away games the visitors conceded a high average of 2.13 goals per match
Alverca recorded 6 clean sheets while Estrela Amadora managed 8
历史交锋
There have been 2 head-to-head matches between these teams
Both games ended in a draw with a goal difference of 3 to 3
The last encounter on January 31, 2026, ended in a 1-1 draw
The historical record is completely balanced
关键球员
Figueiredo recorded 6 goals and 2 assists in 27 appearances with a rating of 7.01
Francisco Jorge Tavares Oliveira contributed 2 goals and 4 assists in 20 matches
Nabil Touaizi has 1 goal and 5 assists across 33 games played
Stefan Leković scored 2 goals in 9 games as a defender with a rating of 7.1
Abraham Marcus has 5 goals, 5 assists and a rating of 7.04 in 31 matches
Ianis Stoica contributed 3 goals and 2 assists in 33 games
门将
Matheus Mendes Werneck de Oliveira guards Alverca's goal with a season average rating of 6.89
His form trend is declining with an average rating of 6.39 over the last 5 matches
Alverca recorded 6 clean sheets overall this season
Estrela Amadora managed to keep a clean sheet 8 times this season
影响因素
At Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca, matches averaged 2.8 goals per game recently
Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 home matches
There were over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 home encounters
The game will be played on natural grass