Liga Portugal
Arouca - Moreirense
08/16/2026, 05:00 PM
预期进球
1.7
2.5
0.8
1:1
13%2:0
12%2:1
10%3:0
7%3:1
5%xG 分解
Arouca
Moreirense
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
57%
平局
27%
客胜
16%
进球数
Over 1.5
73%
Under 1.5
27%
Over 2.5
46%
Under 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
25%
Under 3.5
75%
双重机会
主胜或平局
84%
客胜或平局
43%
非平局
73%
双方进球
是
47%
否
53%
关键因素
- Arouca is currently scoring more frequently (2.0 goals per game) than their season average (1.4)
- The mathematical model projects a strong advantage for Arouca with a 57% home win probability
- Moreirense's attack is weakened with only 56% of their regular starting strength available due to missing players
风险因素
- Moreirense must play without key offensive assets, as Alan de Souza Guimarães (5G/5A) and Travassos (5G/3A) are not in the lineup
- Arouca's defense has shown vulnerabilities this season, conceding an average of 1.88 goals per match
- Moreirense averaged 10.4 total shots in recent games, showing they can still generate threat despite lineup rotations
概述
Arouca host Moreirense at the Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Liga Portugal fixture on August 16, 2026, 6:00 PM
Mid-table clash between 6th place and 8th place
近期状态
Arouca shows rising form with 3 consecutive wins in recent matches
Form string for Arouca: LDWWW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Moreirense is winless in 2 games, recording a draw in their last match
Form string for Moreirense: LWLDD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
Arouca averages 1.38 goals scored and 1.88 goals conceded per season match
Moreirense averages 1.09 goals scored and 1.44 goals conceded per game
Arouca's home stats show 1.35 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded per match
Moreirense concedes an average of 1.75 goals per away game
历史交锋
Even historical record with 2 wins for each side in 4 head-to-head matches
Goal difference of 3 to 5 goals against Arouca
The last match on March 21, 2026, ended in a 1-0 away win for Arouca
关键球员
Alfonso Trezza has already scored 9 goals for his team this season
Iván Barbero shows strong forward presence with a rising form trend and 8 goals
Jóbson de Brito Gonzaga is a dangerous defender for Moreirense with 4 goals this season
门将
Ignacio de Arruabarrena guarded the goal in 16 appearances for the home team this season
André Ferreira has made 22 appearances for Moreirense this season
Arouca kept 7 clean sheets this season, while Moreirense achieved 9 clean sheets
影响因素
The match will be played on natural grass at the Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Venue history shows a high-scoring trend with an average of 3.4 goals per game
Both teams scored in 4 of the last 5 matches at this venue