Liga Portugal
Casa Pia - Benfica
08/17/2026, 07:15 PM
预期进球
0.9
2.7
1.7
1:1
13%0:2
11%1:2
10%0:3
6%1:3
6%xG 分解
Casa Pia
Benfica
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
18%
平局
27%
客胜
55%
进球数
Over 1.5
76%
Under 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
49%
Under 2.5
51%
Over 3.5
27%
Under 3.5
73%
双重机会
主胜或平局
45%
客胜或平局
82%
非平局
73%
双方进球
是
51%
否
49%
关键因素
- CRITICAL: Only 19% of Casa Pia's usual starting lineup strength is available without Gaizka Larrazabal and João Marques
- Benfica averaged a strong 8.2 shots on target per match in their recent fixtures
- The mathematical model predicts a high away win probability of 55% for Benfica
风险因素
- Benfica have had a shorter recovery period of only 4 days since their last match
- The historical low-scoring nature of Estádio Pina Manique with just 1.2 goals per game poses a risk of a low-scoring stalemate
概述
Casa Pia host Benfica at the Estádio Pina Manique on August 17, 2026, 8:15 PM
The hosts are currently in 16th place with zero points, while Benfica sit in 10th place with one point
Both sides are looking for their first victory of the new Liga Portugal season
近期状态
Casa Pia show a weak form trend with a record of LLWDL
Their last match ended in a 0-1 away defeat against Marítimo
Benfica enter the match with a form record of LWWDD
Their most recent game was a 1-1 away draw against Hearts
统计数据
Casa Pia average 0.91 goals scored and 1.68 goals conceded per match
Benfica score an average of 2.18 goals while conceding only 0.74 goals per game
The home team kept seven clean sheets, whereas the visitors recorded 14 clean sheets
历史交锋
Out of four head-to-head matches, Casa Pia have won one, Benfica have won one, and two ended in a draw
The goal difference stands at 6-7 in favor of Benfica
The last meeting on April 6, 2026, ended in a 1-1 draw
关键球员
David Sousa anchors the defense for Casa Pia with a season average rating of 6.79
Vangelis Pavlidis is Benfica's top attacking threat with 23 goals this season
Gianluca Prestianni has contributed six assists for Benfica in this campaign
门将
Samuel Soares achieved a strong average rating of 7.54 in two appearances for Benfica
Casa Pia recorded seven clean sheets this season, while Benfica managed 14 clean sheets
影响因素
Casa Pia's home advantage is limited as they average only 0.9 home goals scored per match
Games at the Estádio Pina Manique have historically seen very few goals, averaging 1.2 per match
The match will be played on a grass pitch