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Liga Portugal

Rio Ave - Porto

08/15/2026, 07:30 PM

0 : 2
预期进球
Rio Ave
0.9
Total xG
2.8
Porto
1.9
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

0:2

11%

1:2

10%

0:3

7%

1:3

6%
xG 分解
RAPOR

Rio Ave

最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.4球)
-0.21
状态下滑 (0.5 vs 1.1 赛季平均)
-0.18
排名劣势 (第12位 vs 第1位, 相差11位)
-0.11
Dario Spikic替补席 (2球, 3助攻)
Andreas Ntoi未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)
Marios Vrousai替补席 (1球, 2助攻)
26%进球产出缺失 (仅68%可用)

Porto

防守实力 (场均失0.6球 vs 联赛平均1.3球)
-0.66
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.35倍)
+0.65
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.14
状态下滑 (1.4 vs 1.9 赛季平均)
-0.14
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第12位, 相差11位)
+0.10
Alberto Costa替补席 (1球, 8助攻)
Alan Varela未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.41
+0.41
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

17%

平局

25%

客胜

58%

进球数

Over 1.5

78%

Under 1.5

22%

Over 2.5

52%

Under 2.5

48%

Over 3.5

30%

Under 3.5

70%

双重机会

主胜或平局

42%

客胜或平局

83%

非平局

75%

双方进球

52%

48%

关键因素
  • Form and standings: Porto started strong (WWLWW) while Rio Ave is stuck at the bottom (LDLDL)
  • Tactical superiority: Porto recently dominated with 57.2% possession and 4.2 shots on target, while Rio Ave plays counter-oriented
  • H2H dominance: Porto won 3 of the last 4 meetings with a goal difference of 8-2
风险因素
  • Weakened home squad: Dario Spikic, Andreas Ntoi, and Marios Vrousai are missing for Rio Ave, leaving only 68% of their goal threat
  • Goal drought: Goal production has recently stalled for both teams (Rio Ave 0.5 vs 1.1 season average, Porto 1.4 vs 1.9)
  • Weak home defense: Rio Ave concedes an average of 1.71 goals per home game
概述

Rio Ave (15th place, 0 points) host Porto (2nd place, 3 points)

Liga Portugal match at the Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube on August 15, 2026, 8:30 PM

Porto enters this away match as the clear favorite after an opening victory

Rio Ave is already under pressure after a defeat in their opening game

近期状态

Rio Ave is winless in their last 5 games with a form of LDLDL (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses)

Porto is in good form with WWLWW (4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss)

The visitors defeated Alverca 2-0 in their most recent match

Rio Ave lost their last game 0-1 against Gil Vicente

统计数据

Porto boasts an extremely strong defense, conceding only 0.53 goals per game on average this season

The visitors scored an average of 1.94 goals per game with 21 clean sheets

Rio Ave scores 1.03 goals and concedes an average of 1.68 goals per game

At home, Rio Ave concedes even more with an average of 1.71 goals against

历史交锋

Porto dominates the historical record with 3 wins and 1 draw in the last 4 encounters

The goal difference in these matches stands at 8-2 in favor of the Dragons

The last direct meeting on February 22, 2026, ended in a 1-0 victory for Porto

关键球员

The hosts place their hopes on Jalen Blesa (7 season goals) and Diogo Bezerra (1 goal, 2 assists)

Tamás Nikitscher (1 goal, 1 assist) controls the midfield for Rio Ave

Porto relies on the quality of William Gomes (8 goals) and Victor Froholdt (6 goals, 7 assists)

Gabri Veiga contributes as a playmaker with 3 goals and 8 assists

门将

Ennio Van Der Gouw starts in goal for Rio Ave (averaging 6.87 in 10 appearances)

Porto's goalkeeper Diogo Costa kept 9 clean sheets away from home this season, with 21 overall

His current rating average stands at a strong 6.94

影响因素

The match will be played on natural grass at the Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube

The venue history shows high-scoring matches with an average of 3.0 goals per game and an 80% BTTS rate

Rio Ave averaged only 1.0 goal scored per game at home last season

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